TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof FURIA, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a6e…9bc5backed FURIA0c107,420$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.424553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Gentle Mates46c15,000$6,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,024.9616245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA54c14,664$7,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,948.513,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Gentle Mates45c12,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.9436152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FURIA53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Gentle Mates47c6,500$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,444.9484454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Gentle Mates46c6,069$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.0723852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Gentle Mates46c6,008$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked FURIA54c5,632$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.2827658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e39…3e17backed Gentle Mates45c5,000$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,730944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Gentle Mates47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked FURIA54c4,697$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.9916248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98fc…6e31backed FURIA55c4,545$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FURIA53c4,464$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.8259839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Gentle Mates47c4,433$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.7878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked FURIA54c3,878$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.111,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44dd…f476backed FURIA55c2,721$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.52951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Gentle Mates41c2,562$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.1898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Gentle Mates48c2,300$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA54c2,263$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.323,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Gentle Mates47c2,129$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.3126743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed FURIA54c1,846$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.3928056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked FURIA55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99016447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Gentle Mates47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Gentle Mates42c1,288$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.5527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed FURIA53c1,149$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.973154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked FURIA53c1,100$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.9128657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked FURIA58c1,100$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.989153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked FURIA66c1,030$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68339157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Gentle Mates48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5208751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed FURIA52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52013646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Gentle Mates46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54014847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked FURIA54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9917853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gentle Mates43c988.9$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.671,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed FURIA76c985.54$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.8721460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed FURIA54c886.7$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.8220059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…7c04backed FURIA53c799.72$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.851855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Gentle Mates47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6820946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed FURIA66c699.97$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.989635.4%34 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed FURIA45c674.98$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6285446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked Gentle Mates42c663$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.6220643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Gentle Mates47c637.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.012,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed FURIA60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36041716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed FURIA53c562.93$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3538650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Gentle Mates42c557.38$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.564854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed FURIA55c520$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.864058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked FURIA7c509.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.751,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Gentle Mates46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27094645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed FURIA52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked FURIA54c499.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9911758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed FURIA53c480$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.418547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed FURIA55c475.94$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.238246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked FURIA55c450.91$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24821653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed FURIA53c431.64$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7731241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Gentle Mates37c420$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7245244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked FURIA44c400$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17738157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Gentle Mates45c398$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4338848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA57c387.61$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.612,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA53c371.06$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.935,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6f…959abacked Gentle Mates56c364.98$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.693363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52c5…5878backed FURIA53c360$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.814346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked FURIA55c354.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19553034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA52c336.93$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.21,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked FURIA55c329.16$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0431451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed FURIA66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c4c…f869backed FURIA76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22812053.3%64 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Gentle Mates47c299.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.993458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed FURIA54c296.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16016254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked FURIA52c278.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14554543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Gentle Mates48c270$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.426341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed FURIA69c250$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.441,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed FURIA53c235.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12529757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked FURIA61c229.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013938.1%53 W · 86 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed FURIA65c223.08$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14548562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed FURIA54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209948.5%48 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA44c219.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Gentle Mates48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45fa…f86fbacked FURIA52c206.88$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.581353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed FURIA55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105244.2%23 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed FURIA53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed FURIA53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Gentle Mates43c188.63$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5250947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed FURIA53c187.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3478…b5f5backed FURIA79c187.36$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.842450%12 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed FURIA53c185.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0733156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed FURIA54c179.23$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7814443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Gentle Mates46c160.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6948845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Gentle Mates48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.212044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked FURIA65c153.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed FURIA75c147.39$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5420251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed FURIA53c143.4$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7614544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed FURIA58c142.57$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5811259.8%67 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed FURIA53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7550050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed FURIA53c139.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6725446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed Gentle Mates47c138.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.35648.2%27 W · 29 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Gentle Mates47c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.559954.5%54 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked FURIA74c134.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Gentle Mates46c113.96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2976248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd23e…746bbacked FURIA55c113.45$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.42352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd1…b918backed Gentle Mates48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.177448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.