CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a01fe4bc9079964d0060093a200627720445cf82da10ceaefd4c0e3816059d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 63c | 3,135$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.65 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 65c | 2,547$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 67c | 2,279$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.33 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 36c | 1,659$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.09 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 1,163$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.69 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 49c | 1,085$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.26 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 30c | 636.57$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Under | 16c | 625.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 37c | 554.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.64 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 63c | 519.91$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.54 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Over | 37c | 501.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Over | 34c | 495.06$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.69 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 37c | 420$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 64c | 385.55$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Under | 65c | 350$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 16c | 320.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 36c | 298.47$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 36c | 290.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 21c | 272.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 61c | 196.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 63c | 135.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 11c | 126.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c7…59cfbacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Under | 78c | 101.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 92.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 36c | 92.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 19c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 36c | 82.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 23c | 81.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Over | 22c | 78.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 36c | 74.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 36c | 67.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 66c | 54.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 50.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 37c | 41.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…c631backed Under | 73c | 40.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Under | 65c | 38.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Over | 62c | 30.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 63c | 22.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 61c | 20.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.