MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10744f1d9c38dd62af8898c1ddae98b784428b825b372c8801b7aa28cce7dc60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Houston Astros | 42c | 40,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 22,436$13,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,147.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,543.86 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Houston Astros | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,374.99 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 12,275$7,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.87 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Houston Astros | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 3c | 10,305$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.99 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 8c | 8,612$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.55 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 42c | 7,939$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.24 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 6,782$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.98 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 23c | 6,744$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.07 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…1cc9backed Houston Astros | 17c | 5,794$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 43c | 5,657$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.74 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 5,201$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.35 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Houston Astros | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 44c | 4,488$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.64 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 4,216$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.6 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Houston Astros | 44c | 4,091$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 44c | 3,597$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.62 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,200$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 2,347$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.33 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 14c | 2,294$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.12 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 23c | 2,162$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.23 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 14c | 2,131$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.85 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,105$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.26 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Houston Astros | 20c | 2,000$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.48 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,975$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.2 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 15c | 1,935$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.76 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,879$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.78 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,781$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.92 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,730$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.2 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,422$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.5 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,418$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.95 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,371$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.7 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 71c | 1,336$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,253$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.62 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 79c | 1,229$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.66 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 24c | 1,183$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.97 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,100$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.01 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 12c | 1,081$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,067$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.06 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,024$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.88 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Houston Astros | 46c | 845.99$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Houston Astros | 28c | 843.58$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.64 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…50dabacked Houston Astros | 19c | 818.44$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Houston Astros | 26c | 800$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 42c | 758.08$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.47 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Houston Astros | 25c | 643.04$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Houston Astros | 34c | 606.37$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 39c | 550.72$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.03 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 536.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 502.4$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.06 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Houston Astros | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 3c | 499.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Houston Astros | 14c | 445.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 415.64$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Houston Astros | 44c | 409.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 41c | 400.3$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.19 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 399$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.56 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 398.19$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros | 41c | 387$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Houston Astros | 44c | 375$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 373.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Astros | 11c | 372.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Houston Astros | 21c | 359.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…998dbacked Houston Astros | 20c | 350.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Houston Astros | 6c | 345$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Houston Astros | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 43c | 320$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 313.69$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Houston Astros | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Houston Astros | 41c | 272$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Houston Astros | 13c | 265.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Seattle Mariners | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Houston Astros | 42c | 259$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Seattle Mariners | 80c | 258.91$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Houston Astros | 17c | 258.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Seattle Mariners | 80c | 256$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 255$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Houston Astros | 43c | 254.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Houston Astros | 13c | 247.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 280 | 31.1%87 W · 193 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Houston Astros | 44c | 238.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 12c | 238.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 231.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Houston Astros | 27c | 231.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Houston Astros | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Houston Astros | 32c | 217.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Houston Astros | 44c | 215.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.