Asian League · resolved market
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x610d322b2ae2e4e499c98e9323c305aec9a24c7f9161b943faae3d2803adb693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 6c | 4,145$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.91 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 21c | 3,695$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.6 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 58c | 1,328$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 901.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…7d97backed Yes | 60c | 773.33$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 603.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 4c | 490.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 419.07$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.44 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 60c | 417.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 65c | 415.62$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 40c | 383.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 45c | 231.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 10c | 191.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Yes | 57c | 190.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 23c | 180.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…6ddabacked Yes | 28c | 139.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 22c | 136.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 59c | 134.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 131.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 116.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 71c | 107.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 105$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 58c | 101.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 90.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 72c | 82.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed No | 71c | 64.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 27c | 55.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 53.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 22c | 53.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Yes | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 59c | 49.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 58c | 49.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 73c | 40.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 79c | 40.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed No | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 60c | 29.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d0…a663backed Yes | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…05b6backed Yes | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.