Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcba2febffdceaca20deecf2e70c33e9c16686ac50a90fdbc8cd9c44a5b6b5e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3997…0a40backed No | 0c | 21,780$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 46c | 7,333$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.92 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 5,588$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.63 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 53c | 3,774$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.37 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 49c | 2,608$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 50c | 2,401$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.39 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 2,266$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.87 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 13c | 1,937$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.33 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 1,716$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.5 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 1,161$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.74 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 1,111$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.96 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 1,054$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.45 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…1c13backed No | 54c | 742.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 53c | 556$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 52c | 332.05$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 279.25$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.63 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 28c | 256.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 52c | 207$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 64c | 203.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked No | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 51c | 152.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 34c | 111.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 32c | 103.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 100.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked No | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 59c | 79.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 76c | 64.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd5…d8d3backed Yes | 39c | 62.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 58.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 51c | 58.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…53b8backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 20c | 53.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 38c | 51.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 57c | 50.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Yes | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 62c | 42.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 63c | 39.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 54c | 36.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63b…5c51backed No | 56c | 33.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 45c | 33.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Yes | 52c | 25.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 48c | 22.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed No | 51c | 21.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?No won
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.