Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10286c548844a325386473c413d0cc2fe1e7820f1d48c3d37923c44924065294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 36c | 5,319$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 3,975$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.42 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 3,100$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.31 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 2,349$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.14 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed No | 54c | 910.18$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.68 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked No | 55c | 818.18$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 585.65$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 40c | 337.4$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes | 17c | 192.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 59c | 157.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 61c | 141.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 49c | 101.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 100.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 66c | 99.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 11c | 98.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 59c | 80.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 75.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 43c | 74.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…ad9bbacked Yes | 39c | 74.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 45c | 71.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 65.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 21c | 57.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 75c | 33.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Yes | 35c | 32.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 65c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 72c | 23.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 70c | 22.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 18.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.