Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa6878e4c6859002a838dc2b0a5c8f4011605f48c3d41ba92ef6070c7f0260b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9f0…4434backed Yes | 2c | 486.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 271$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 254.23$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 252.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 27c | 205.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…c5b9backed Yes | 36c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 39c | 166.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 31c | 160.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 70c | 152.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 73c | 123.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 31c | 122.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…4629backed Yes | 25c | 120.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 102.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 31c | 100.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 70c | 99.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Yes | 31c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 72c | 81.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 66c | 77.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 72c | 76.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 63c | 75.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 26c | 71.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 63c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 71c | 70.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c000backed Yes | 29c | 68.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 35c | 66.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 61.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 36c | 60.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 59.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 69c | 58.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184d…67f7backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 62c | 57.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 20c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 67c | 56.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 52.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 67c | 51.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…b0f8backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…6972backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 229 | 59.8%137 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 27c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked No | 63c | 49.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 70c | 48.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…df0fbacked No | 74c | 47.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42bc…8d22backed Yes | 38c | 46.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80db…4a73backed Yes | 32c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 67c | 44.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 66c | 43.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked Yes | 29c | 43.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 71c | 43.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Yes | 30c | 42.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes | 36c | 38.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 68c | 38.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 37.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 73c | 36.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221e…6dcabacked Yes | 32c | 31.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed No | 66c | 30.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 34c | 30.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd521…1889backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 64c | 23.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…67f4backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 66c | 18.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 69c | 18.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 72c | 16.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…f0eabacked No | 70c | 16.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 93 | 62.4%58 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.