TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeea4…efe6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
18
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Maxim Mrvabacked Andrea Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$177.5
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Oeiras 3: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$109.19
Barcelona Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$206.16
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Barcelona Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$427.74
BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
BMW Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$26.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.