CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5926d45fc1d98255da19bb85eee900082ec287d8f865987d30289cb45085e9e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 50c | 4,749$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 47c | 4,348$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.52 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Over | 55c | 1,358$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.65 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 37c | 1,005$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.84 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Under | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Under | 64c | 780$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Over | 68c | 667.05$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 36c | 592.86$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 76c | 329.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Under | 71c | 273.63$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 62c | 252.63$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…9dd5backed Under | 38c | 252.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…0c5dbacked Under | 68c | 199.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 63c | 151$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 36c | 135$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Under | 45c | 116.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…b276backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…3a8ebacked Under | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…42cebacked Under | 61c | 49.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed Under | 72c | 42.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…37ccbacked Over | 33c | 39.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Under | 67c | 32.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…d786backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)FaZe won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.