NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x836c15b34e0f2830ec8d5f1ea8f36f31d8be972db852d3782bf122f3f5d4bb6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 47c | 6,313$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.89 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 3,180$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 52c | 2,566$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.56 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 52c | 1,689$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.25 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over | 42c | 1,387$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.32 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 42c | 1,160$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 42c | 1,160$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.79 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 48c | 1,046$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.06 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 42c | 1,005$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.76 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Under | 52c | 835.68$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.55 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Over | 50c | 760$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 44c | 661.67$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 44c | 614.01$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c1…b4afbacked Over | 48c | 481$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 53c | 384.9$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 312$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb731…14d6backed Over | 45c | 249$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf24…e6bcbacked Over | 50c | 248$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…8a17backed Over | 45c | 204$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…e4d7backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406e…50b7backed Over | 45c | 184$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…140fbacked Under | 52c | 177$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…b24cbacked Under | 57c | 164$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…26d8backed Over | 45c | 159$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562d…2c7bbacked Under | 57c | 155$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…a759backed Under | 57c | 154$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f4…3984backed Under | 57c | 146$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…ae6bbacked Under | 57c | 143$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…ad2ebacked Under | 57c | 135$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 43c | 134$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…d4e8backed Under | 52c | 134$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…a933backed Under | 52c | 131$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 43c | 114$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…07bfbacked Over | 45c | 101$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…b20fbacked Over | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…025dbacked Over | 33c | 99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 67c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 67c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 46c | 43.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…eaa6backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 61c | 28.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)Bucks won
- 76ers vs. Bucks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.