TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c57…c94dbacked Bucks50c49,305$24,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,559.575151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers51c16,870$8,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,331.859,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed 76ers50c13,430$6,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,715.0259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks50c10,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9501,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked 76ers51c8,190$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,004.598347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 76ers51c5,200$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,54840243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5005,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks51c3,020$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked 76ers50c2,975$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers48c2,902$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.224,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed 76ers50c2,594$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2972,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers51c2,364$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.362,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked 76ers55c1,828$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.2736943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers51c1,545$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.952,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks47c1,520$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks50c1,412$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.6876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed 76ers53c1,313$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61717658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers50c1,275$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Bucks47c1,257$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.935651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Bucks46c1,196$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.162,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked 76ers51c1,177$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.5116446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bucks47c1,109$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.952,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bucks49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Bucks49c980.2$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.31,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed 76ers54c916$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.3614549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers50c825$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed 76ers50c540$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27092753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers50c459.7$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.852,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…7fa9backed Bucks48c368$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeac…860abacked 76ers54c208$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…4120backed Bucks48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x35d5…3d73backed Bucks48c201$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.48825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked 76ers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9854951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5be…b7cebacked Bucks48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81d…6b04backed Bucks48c198$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Bucks49c196.35$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2112454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed 76ers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0866046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3dd…45d3backed Bucks51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a17…a43abacked Bucks48c183$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4684…82f3backed 76ers54c173$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2408…83e5backed Bucks48c167$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed 76ers51c166.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.676541.5%27 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb36a…917ebacked 76ers54c164$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44ee…1447backed 76ers54c162$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed 76ers52c160.46$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0211946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd148…92c5backed 76ers54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd883…8a17backed 76ers54c137$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa96…ff6cbacked 76ers54c132$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0313…b24cbacked 76ers54c131$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ceb…e96ebacked Bucks48c128$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks47c127.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0189050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Bucks41c127.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.618554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6b1…306bbacked Bucks48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3e…1819backed 76ers54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d00…484abacked 76ers54c104$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ae…5980backed 76ers54c102$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf256…a93fbacked 76ers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4913253%70 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e5…b8ffbacked 76ers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8f1…025dbacked 76ers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499351.6%48 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed 76ers51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0451451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…8e16backed 76ers54c98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed 76ers51c97.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.98785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 76ers50c93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.51,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbba5…2a39backed 76ers54c92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed 76ers52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Bucks47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.69446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce3…e89ebacked Bucks49c67.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-47.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers50c61.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.923,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Bucks49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.416559.4%98 W · 67 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked 76ers53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.233650.6%170 W · 166 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Bucks46c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4623348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked 76ers53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.176050%30 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa96…4450backed 76ers55c45.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked 76ers50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2234451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed 76ers53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.453138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b82…b217backed 76ers54c34.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.082661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed 76ers50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked 76ers50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.531250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdc…6d51backed 76ers75c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73948.7%19 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed 76ers53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.283652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bucks46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.042,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed 76ers53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.872857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d1…2581backed 76ers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.