NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd061632427620e28559e0a7bc47db310be1f17b33ee3ec28d0efbb217126b1d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Over | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,799.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 49c | 24,500$12,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,099.98 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 16,362$8,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,311.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Over | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 50c | 13,621$6,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.29 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 52c | 12,780$6,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,645.72 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 6,330$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.6 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 48c | 6,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Over | 48c | 4,422$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.16 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 53c | 1,526$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 68c | 872$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.56 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 49c | 810$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 688.46$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.46 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 32c | 624$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 624$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…7873backed Over | 52c | 577$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 52c | 512$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…7d56backed Over | 48c | 403$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 285.46$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f56…4ce7backed Over | 50c | 277$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…84dfbacked Over | 50c | 216$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1389…c7b6backed Under | 53c | 215$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 201.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…201fbacked Under | 52c | 197$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…64eebacked Under | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 46c | 169$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 164$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d6…e477backed Under | 52c | 161$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Over | 20c | 145$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…71d4backed Under | 52c | 135$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Under | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…a93fbacked Over | 37c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Over | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 63c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed Over | 49c | 43.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…1225backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e4…5364backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…87dabacked Over | 51c | 21.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…2fb8backed Over | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…cbe8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8777…66d0backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Under | 55c | 18.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)Bucks won
- 76ers vs. Bucks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.