NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84681fc38e2e9cec9aa53bb742f1fc46b7eb90207abd868e103d5cfb3fa6ce03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6371…d8febacked Under | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…6313backed Over | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 65c | 1,709$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.35 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 36c | 1,412$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.47 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Over | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 555$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 76c | 315.07$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.17 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Under | 66c | 281.85$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 34c | 181.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 61c | 135$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…5813backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…2de4backed Under | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 39c | 79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 34c | 69.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…78b3backed Under | 66c | 60.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 38c | 54.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 59c | 33.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)Bucks won
- 76ers vs. Bucks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.