NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0adfccd672e2cf87b0b3c0cfe85ec32c6710c87960925f20aed2a8522639ee88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Timberwolves, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 52,500$25,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,724.95 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 51c | 29,462$15,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,412.58 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers | 51c | 16,857$8,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,259.94 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 6,088$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.98 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 55c | 5,804$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e9…d516backed Clippers | 53c | 5,658$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 51c | 1,975$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,974$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Clippers | 51c | 1,745$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.1 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Clippers | 63c | 1,599$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 48c | 850$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.93 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 46c | 716.18$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 38c | 703.13$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…f422backed Timberwolves | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Clippers | 51c | 600.16$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Clippers | 52c | 577$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 479.16$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Clippers | 51c | 299.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Timberwolves | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Clippers | 57c | 228.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Clippers | 53c | 226.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 37c | 225$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Clippers | 51c | 217.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 206.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Timberwolves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Clippers | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Timberwolves | 49c | 196.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Clippers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…87f0backed Clippers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Clippers | 57c | 132.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 24c | 129.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Clippers | 56c | 125.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Clippers | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Clippers | 51c | 107.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Clippers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Clippers | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Timberwolves | 44c | 99.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 52c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Clippers | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Clippers | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Clippers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Clippers | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Timberwolves | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Clippers | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…8d34backed Timberwolves | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Clippers | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Clippers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Clippers | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Clippers | 51c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Clippers | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Clippers | 57c | 23.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Timberwolves | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 51c | 22.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)this page
- Clippers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.