NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4ca8c8577c9c29e0c9ea60dbb82f5e6ac443a02670c4d3c360f6097e193ed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,806$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 54c | 3,706$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.07 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 54c | 1,283$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.82 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 1,125$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 53c | 593.15$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.85 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 196.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 136$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked Over | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8477…d936backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…d9acbacked Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5this page
- Clippers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.