Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava Open, Qualification: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Katherine Sebov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a995118444672070fca591517be90a74e06c87229fa65534491b425f12b28ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebovof Friedsam, Sebov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ab8…e88ebacked Friedsam | 22c | 2,211$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sebov | 55c | 1,832$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.43 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Friedsam | 68c | 770.36$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.45 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Friedsam | 5c | 549.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Friedsam | 27c | 535.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Friedsam | 17c | 293.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Sebov | 77c | 261.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0259…33c9backed Friedsam | 8c | 250.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sebov | 57c | 240.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Friedsam | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Friedsam | 58c | 63.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Friedsam | 35c | 62.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…756bbacked Sebov | 41c | 30.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…c5f6backed Sebov | 37c | 27.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…8886backed Sebov | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…1942backed Sebov | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Sebov | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…1464backed Sebov | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…d039backed Sebov | 73c | 17.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.