Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: UAE vs Ireland (Game 2)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x590a4b7cc67ca85fea410f7d5277b69a3e8fbc500d4121b38a35479697279f5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Irelandof UAE, Ireland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked UAE | 50c | 40,000$19,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,952.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ireland | 50c | 31,264$15,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,632.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed Ireland | 51c | 5,635$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.08 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Ireland | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked UAE | 8c | 556$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6a40backed Ireland | 65c | 486.72$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ireland | 50c | 442.31$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.35 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Ireland | 79c | 377.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Ireland | 62c | 340.89$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Ireland | 78c | 336.71$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…adc1backed Ireland | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…9042backed UAE | 17c | 197.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed UAE | 63c | 191.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ireland | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…521bbacked UAE | 8c | 167.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Ireland | 65c | 153.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked UAE | 20c | 135.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ireland | 68c | 132.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…acd7backed Ireland | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed UAE | 31c | 88.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…2f7bbacked UAE | 34c | 76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UAE | 34c | 75.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…e84cbacked UAE | 34c | 61.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Ireland | 66c | 59.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Ireland | 69c | 58.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed UAE | 40c | 56.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…74bfbacked Ireland | 65c | 53.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed UAE | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…b8e0backed UAE | 35c | 43.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Ireland | 77c | 41.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…c7dfbacked UAE | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…ccdbbacked Ireland | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c44backed Ireland | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Ireland | 58c | 35.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…6e80backed Ireland | 61c | 33.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…c269backed Ireland | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc7…29a1backed UAE | 35c | 30.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Ireland | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Ireland | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed Ireland | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Ireland | 68c | 29.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Ireland | 65c | 25.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…3d14backed Ireland | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…dd10backed Ireland | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a25…dbcdbacked Ireland | 74c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.