Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa007ab78ab7def125925cf59e4e2c0eb4d261a2ba9ceb41128cebde08dab40b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 60c | 24,545$14,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,714.82 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 40c | 5,840$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.97 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 60c | 5,483$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 3,755$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.49 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 57c | 3,268$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.4 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 2,864$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 1,621$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.61 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 1,567$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.16 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 40c | 1,223$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.57 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 50c | 1,185$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.24 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 40c | 1,090$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 49c | 827$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.64 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes | 44c | 779.55$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 61c | 764.98$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.26 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 20c | 659.86$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 554.25$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.54 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 43c | 520.81$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.04 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 42c | 480$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 443.85$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 15c | 442$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 44c | 310.08$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 294$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes | 61c | 280$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 42c | 231$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1b…c496backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 60c | 179.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 117.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked No | 59c | 117$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 40c | 98.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 62c | 97.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 43c | 74.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Yes | 63c | 69.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 38c | 65.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 40c | 61.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 39c | 52.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 58c | 42.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 48c | 40.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f32…8b1fbacked Yes | 42c | 39.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 38c | 37.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 44c | 35.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Yes | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Yes | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed No | 44c | 28.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 56c | 26.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Yes | 75c | 25.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked No | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 56c | 18.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 59c | 18.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.