Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf385886133a24ec4820d4e78a5ad35dae6f46846bc040c38b7ab1ffb9c0509cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 4,279$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.58 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,576$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 1,467$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.41 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 692.57$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.22 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 362.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 14c | 338.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 75c | 239$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 147.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 145$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 134.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 114.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked No | 72c | 103$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 79c | 73.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 26c | 71.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 70c | 47.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2036…0f0fbacked No | 75c | 36.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 33c | 31.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 69c | 29.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-29?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.