Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d639ef233c8b23a5e8e3eefb11caf0347afbadade3d9830a3624adc815532b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 23c | 29,570$6,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,801.1 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 25,184$19,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,784.3 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 9,530$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.12 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 4,597$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.75 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 68c | 3,465$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.72 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 2,379$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.28 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 2,344$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.43 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 2,333$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.06 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 2,268$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.15 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 1,681$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 1c | 1,626$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 32c | 1,315$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.77 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 26c | 1,035$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.95 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 26c | 1,014$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.64 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 32c | 625.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 23c | 538$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked Yes | 12c | 430$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 31c | 420$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 25c | 374.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 18c | 338.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 327.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 68c | 312.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…0acbbacked Yes | 31c | 303.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 31c | 285.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 17c | 242.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 20c | 203.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…fab4backed Yes | 33c | 177.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Yes | 32c | 174.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 32c | 160.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 32c | 129.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Yes | 32c | 119$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Yes | 31c | 96.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 31c | 91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 30c | 67.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 30c | 57.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed No | 72c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.