Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Greet Minnen vs Camilla Rosatello
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52402d736efdf87c22afa009c5f1af713b18ad3cece4bb6a0ad1eadf2da3de39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rosatelloof Minnen, Rosatello
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rosatello | 48c | 8,826$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.09 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Minnen | 41c | 6,956$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.65 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rosatello | 43c | 2,417$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.6 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed Minnen | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Rosatello | 43c | 939.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.12 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnen | 72c | 778.97$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rosatello | 34c | 720.31$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.73 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Rosatello | 17c | 582.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.35 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Rosatello | 18c | 579.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.18 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnen | 67c | 569.5$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.94 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Minnen | 69c | 568$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.65 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Minnen | 70c | 530$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.31 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Minnen | 10c | 499$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Minnen | 68c | 478.64$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rosatello | 20c | 264.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Minnen | 54c | 231$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Rosatello | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rosatello | 33c | 188.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Rosatello | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Minnen | 51c | 139.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Minnen | 72c | 138.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Minnen | 58c | 136.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rosatello | 10c | 121.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Rosatello | 11c | 113.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Rosatello | 30c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Minnen | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Minnen | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Minnen | 67c | 85.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Rosatello | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Minnen | 70c | 82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Minnen | 68c | 71.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rosatello | 26c | 67.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7189backed Minnen | 53c | 64.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Minnen | 72c | 64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Minnen | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Rosatello | 22c | 56.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Minnen | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rosatello | 38c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Minnen | 68c | 43.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Minnen | 64c | 42.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…400fbacked Minnen | 79c | 37.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Minnen | 64c | 31.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Rosatello | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Minnen | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Minnen | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Minnen | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.