CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M1X KS (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62f0cbb4b1c3b449fa783d731aead1e28670205ecdb7762a6f185c0d08f8976a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M1X KSof 3DMAX, M1X KS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed M1X KS | 35c | 6,262$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,065.41 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked M1X KS | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX | 70c | 1,018$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed 3DMAX | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed 3DMAX | 59c | 839.76$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.73 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed M1X KS | 50c | 755.13$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.61 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked M1X KS | 50c | 665$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.5 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed 3DMAX | 66c | 604.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed 3DMAX | 75c | 603.75$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc382…2b24backed M1X KS | 25c | 400.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed 3DMAX | 65c | 356.94$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.01 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed M1X KS | 10c | 271$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked 3DMAX | 26c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed 3DMAX | 69c | 193.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.06 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…24d9backed M1X KS | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX | 30c | 179.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked 3DMAX | 78c | 149.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…3e81backed 3DMAX | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked 3DMAX | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bd53backed 3DMAX | 63c | 81.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed M1X KS | 45c | 66.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed 3DMAX | 56c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed M1X KS | 29c | 61.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed M1X KS | 45c | 57.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed 3DMAX | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed 3DMAX | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c76…0569backed M1X KS | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…0320backed M1X KS | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed M1X KS | 29c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M1X KS | 60c | 36.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…fb2fbacked M1X KS | 50c | 35.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed 3DMAX | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked 3DMAX | 73c | 26.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M1X KS (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M1X KS - Map 2 WinnerM1X KS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.