Serie A · resolved market
Will Inter Milan Beat Napoli?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9191c2191eb0835243f14f492412ef7448974dc642f77094069e96de8262f99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 36c | 2,007$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.03 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…a67fbacked No | 64c | 2,002$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 38c | 1,328$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 6c | 1,277$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 39c | 1,011$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.38 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 61c | 985.51$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 60c | 981.03$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.41 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 874.9$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.7 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 40c | 805$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.95 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 41c | 607.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 340.28$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 41c | 207.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed No | 23c | 164.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 38c | 134.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 40c | 126.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…9e48backed Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…bb92backed Yes | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 67c | 35.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…025cbacked Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…9a34backed Yes | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5435…1fafbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…01ccbacked No | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…1fc2backed No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…7643backed No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Milan Beat Napoli?this page
- Will Inter Milan vs. Napoli End in a Draw?Yes won
- Will Napoli Beat Inter Milan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.