Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Luca Nardi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae843d2fc93189e02ce3520662ad115e0e3918f68fa7ee1e6485d57efdb37d26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bustaof Busta, Nardi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Busta | 38c | 23,338$8,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,381.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Nardi | 49c | 18,229$8,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,862.09 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nardi | 44c | 15,167$6,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,623.89 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Busta | 62c | 13,687$8,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,254.46 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Nardi | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.95 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nardi | 48c | 9,645$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.38 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Busta | 50c | 9,369$4,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.46 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nardi | 58c | 8,232$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.69 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Busta | 33c | 6,316$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.13 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Busta | 54c | 5,615$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.72 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Busta | 50c | 4,184$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.43 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Busta | 62c | 3,480$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.21 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Nardi | 38c | 2,938$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.24 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Nardi | 65c | 2,715$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.4 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Busta | 41c | 2,392$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Nardi | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Nardi | 61c | 2,029$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Busta | 54c | 2,001$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.43 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Busta | 53c | 1,947$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.84 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdb…3114backed Nardi | 43c | 1,636$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Busta | 46c | 1,600$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.38 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nardi | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Nardi | 34c | 1,458$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…a9c8backed Busta | 54c | 1,357$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.09 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nardi | 44c | 1,343$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.39 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Busta | 20c | 1,249$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.32 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Nardi | 50c | 1,243$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.66 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Nardi | 51c | 1,181$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.38 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Nardi | 42c | 1,166$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Busta | 34c | 1,079$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.33 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Nardi | 41c | 1,020$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.64 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Busta | 59c | 1,019$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.08 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Nardi | 51c | 1,001$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.24 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Busta | 50c | 941.77$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.13 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nardi | 48c | 923.62$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.34 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Busta | 48c | 919.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.71 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Busta | 58c | 865.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.18 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Nardi | 68c | 775$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Busta | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Busta | 39c | 675.67$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.67 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Busta | 59c | 673.56$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.14 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Nardi | 63c | 652.85$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.3 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Nardi | 47c | 631$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nardi | 45c | 624.2$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.65 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Nardi | 50c | 611.56$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Nardi | 48c | 596$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.86 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Busta | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nardi | 50c | 517.35$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.69 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Busta | 50c | 514$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Busta | 45c | 513.15$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.47 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Nardi | 50c | 500.32$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Busta | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Busta | 42c | 478.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.79 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Busta | 40c | 457$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.27 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Busta | 55c | 456.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.52 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nardi | 42c | 435.4$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…499cbacked Nardi | 77c | 434.58$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.79 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Nardi | 38c | 423.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Busta | 50c | 411.06$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.53 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Nardi | 49c | 409$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.98 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Busta | 47c | 404.51$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.95 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Nardi | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nardi | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Nardi | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Nardi | 33c | 386.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Busta | 13c | 383.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.05 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Busta | 48c | 371.12$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.48 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Busta | 50c | 370$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Busta | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 179 | 55.9%100 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Busta | 58c | 342.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.28 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Busta | 49c | 333.27$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Busta | 58c | 333$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Nardi | 67c | 331.76$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Nardi | 46c | 323.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Nardi | 64c | 322.51$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Nardi | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Busta | 49c | 308.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Busta | 50c | 306.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Busta | 49c | 297$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…e83dbacked Nardi | 35c | 289.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nardi | 44c | 274.19$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nardi | 48c | 260$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Busta | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Busta | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nardi | 44c | 250.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…fb2dbacked Nardi | 47c | 245.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Busta | 31c | 243.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Busta | 34c | 239.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Busta | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nardi | 46c | 235$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Nardi | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…7cf2backed Busta | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…c586backed Nardi | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Busta | 49c | 216$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aff…5f17backed Nardi | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Busta | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Nardi | 48c | 209.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Busta | 54c | 206$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Busta | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24be…8d08backed Busta | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Luca Nardithis page
- Busta vs. Nardi: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Busta vs. Nardi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Busta (-1.5) vs Nardi (+1.5)Nardi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.