MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d83476a7c8cef34b7cac56bac8ee3a50114816462c2fd1b8a63bed0272fca01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Blue Jays, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,244,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,223,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,244,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals | 45c | 604,920$274,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330,623.02 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 59c | 424,999$250,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249,999.61 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Royals | 41c | 259,270$106,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,258.33 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 180,000$97,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,200 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Blue Jays | 54c | 120,000$64,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,800 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 44c | 111,605$49,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,498.85 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Royals | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 35,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 54c | 20,003$10,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,801.46 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Royals | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 54c | 10,666$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.64 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 74c | 10,372$7,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Blue Jays | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 43c | 8,707$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.21 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Blue Jays | 23c | 8,696$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Royals | 41c | 8,694$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,156.4 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 42c | 5,504$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.63 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals | 42c | 5,068$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.64 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Royals | 44c | 5,011$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Royals | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 47c | 4,789$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.58 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 3,906$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.36 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Royals | 48c | 3,022$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.3 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Blue Jays | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Blue Jays | 31c | 2,696$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 2,205$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.3 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed Blue Jays | 58c | 2,144$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 55c | 1,964$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Royals | 74c | 1,955$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.48 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 45c | 1,723$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.88 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Royals | 41c | 1,641$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.19 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Blue Jays | 18c | 1,378$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 40c | 1,246$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.78 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Royals | 42c | 1,003$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.18 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Blue Jays | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Royals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Royals | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 80c | 895.71$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.13 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Royals | 45c | 884.44$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 69c | 867.12$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.53 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 20c | 865.63$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 857.14$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Blue Jays | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Royals | 42c | 710.29$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Royals | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Royals | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Royals | 40c | 660$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Royals | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 40c | 648.55$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.46 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Royals | 71c | 604.15$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Royals | 45c | 555.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.37 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Blue Jays | 56c | 553.77$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.11 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Royals | 40c | 521.02$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.61 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Royals | 40c | 518$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 500$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Royals | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Royals | 40c | 429$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa9…c573backed Royals | 45c | 420.13$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Blue Jays | 56c | 419.64$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf53…3f0dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Blue Jays | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Blue Jays | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Blue Jays | 57c | 349.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fc…81d0backed Blue Jays | 17c | 336.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…e61cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Royals | 40c | 317$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Blue Jays | 56c | 301.79$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Blue Jays | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…42f1backed Blue Jays | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 64c | 296.24$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Royals | 39c | 294$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Blue Jays | 56c | 260$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Blue Jays | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Royals | 45c | 249.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.29 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 243.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 43c | 239.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Blue Jays | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Blue Jays | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Royals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Royals | 79c | 219.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…9954backed Blue Jays | 57c | 219$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 210.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…eecdbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 208.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…6576backed Blue Jays | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Blue Jays | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 180.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Blue Jays | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Royals | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Blue Jays | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Royals | 77c | 171.51$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 169$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Royalsthis page
- NRFI: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.