TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Hornets, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$438,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$455,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 580 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9889…3e00backed Nets59c110,005$64,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,101.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7567…4981backed Hornets41c110,000$45,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…1f49backed Nets59c45,500$26,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,6551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Nets64c40,063$25,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,241.1547656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…9402backed Hornets41c36,895$15,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,126.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Hornets36c22,423$8,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,180.3333931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Nets67c9,061$6,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.4734532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets34c5,171$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.241,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0211…8073backed Hornets41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Hornets33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6507032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets39c4,138$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.385,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Nets60c4,109$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.511643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd673…0c20backed Hornets41c3,500$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf619…4efebacked Nets61c3,500$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.971330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x350d…a3d2backed Hornets39c3,495$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.912347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Hornets35c3,230$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.4947848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…eb37backed Nets63c3,158$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac7…206abacked Hornets40c3,104$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Hornets1c3,065$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hornets41c3,042$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.3276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hornets14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets63c2,849$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.3116532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets40c2,705$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.0937448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hornets33c2,542$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.7572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Nets65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe35…d34abacked Hornets1c2,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208823.9%21 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Hornets42c2,363$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Hornets30c2,300$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6906841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets63c2,259$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.7577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets30c2,182$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.43,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets37c2,020$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.0932130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Hornets36c1,894$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.8430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets61c1,724$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.8196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets38c1,674$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.3350245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Hornets25c1,637$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1525939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Nets63c1,589$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.748851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets60c1,559$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.0946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Nets56c1,502$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.2916563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Nets61c1,380$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.8173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfb…deb3backed Hornets39c1,288$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.271338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets1c1,271$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.131,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Hornets40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.998547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2209…823ebacked Nets60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Hornets41c1,198$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Hornets1c1,125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.354573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Nets70c1,088$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3761345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hornets36c1,061$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4247229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Hornets24c1,020$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.69534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hornets34c1,000$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Hornets39c999.98$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9935046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets2c981$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.295502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets39c900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35151037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Nets59c831$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.717150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Hornets11c799.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.214034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets37c750$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.51,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Hornets27c685.64$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4815341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets39c610$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3785542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x257c…49aabacked Nets60c606.47$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.592157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Nets59c530.69$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5846426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Nets60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Hornets37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a1…de7abacked Hornets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802650%13 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b1…9b41backed Hornets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802931%9 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd872…55ccbacked Hornets35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8760…a057backed Nets64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…1305backed Nets66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb80…69dabacked Nets66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee2…251bbacked Nets64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf486…e6dfbacked Nets65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1753056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacc…be87backed Hornets35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x205d…611fbacked Hornets34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6638…2d54backed Nets66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba4…f1babacked Hornets34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc316…59a4backed Nets66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…4c4bbacked Nets64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65eb…d2a5backed Nets66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+63%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc3af…357fbacked Hornets34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…c2bbbacked Hornets34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…eb45backed Hornets34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe487…6754backed Hornets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3136…1a1dbacked Nets66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x029f…afacbacked Hornets34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0c…1f2bbacked Hornets34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a40…82cebacked Nets66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc115…7cabbacked Nets64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccda…f346backed Hornets34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d0…1ebabacked Hornets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa730…3806backed Nets66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd62…748cbacked Hornets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba81…e734backed Hornets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803050%15 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d4d…22a7backed Hornets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c97…1054backed Hornets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803040%12 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ed…a619backed Nets66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x399f…12dabacked Nets64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0412…4c08backed Hornets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0593…7242backed Hornets34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5934…d2e7backed Nets65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…6662backed Hornets35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753040%12 W · 18 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.