Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad beat PAOK?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b432224e9442e83991166317e13155a7a806c326720a71e4a75caeade0c902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,803$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 41c | 1,459$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.39 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 38c | 1,378$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.53 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 43c | 1,151$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.03 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 41c | 609.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 49c | 251.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 41c | 207$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 52c | 192.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 52c | 191.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…dd41backed Yes | 65c | 125$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 41c | 100.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 59c | 65.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked No | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 62c | 49.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…2056backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…4aecbacked Yes | 54c | 42.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…5033backed No | 39c | 38.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f4…1b7ebacked Yes | 61c | 36.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…056fbacked Yes | 60c | 34.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…7838backed No | 40c | 34.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…254dbacked Yes | 60c | 33.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7b…2dbabacked Yes | 60c | 33.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…4fa1backed No | 40c | 33.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…718fbacked Yes | 60c | 32.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5af…cc50backed No | 39c | 29.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…005fbacked Yes | 61c | 29.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…0b1ebacked Yes | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…3796backed Yes | 61c | 29.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…1d8ebacked Yes | 61c | 29.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…ad96backed No | 39c | 29.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…c0a7backed No | 39c | 28.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acb…795bbacked Yes | 60c | 28.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…df18backed No | 39c | 27.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…cb5abacked Yes | 60c | 26.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff90…9ea9backed No | 38c | 26.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacc…d799backed Yes | 62c | 26.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…25adbacked No | 40c | 26.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf662…a1babacked Yes | 60c | 26.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…bdffbacked No | 40c | 26.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…3767backed Yes | 60c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…d930backed Yes | 61c | 22.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1855…da8bbacked Yes | 62c | 22.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…19c3backed Yes | 61c | 21.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…710bbacked Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…13c3backed Yes | 77c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…2d02backed Yes | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 61c | 16.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad beat PAOK?this page
- Will PAOK beat Real Sociedad?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.