NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0048595cbaa5eee4347596448eec6fb4838c067e4d4b2b5e6e6580fdb61ba59b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 692 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked 76ers | 5c | 22,642$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.83 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed 76ers | 30c | 15,644$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.66 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed 76ers | 28c | 15,608$4,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.92 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked 76ers | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 50c | 8,782$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.9 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers | 50c | 5,427$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.66 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Heat | 75c | 5,305$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked 76ers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed 76ers | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 63c | 4,524$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked 76ers | 50c | 4,448$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…5bfdbacked Heat | 70c | 3,930$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.01 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 51c | 3,728$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.3 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed 76ers | 18c | 3,475$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.1 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed 76ers | 49c | 3,001$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Heat | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked 76ers | 51c | 2,575$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.82 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Heat | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 51c | 2,496$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.31 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 48c | 2,337$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.24 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Heat | 75c | 2,255$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.89 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed 76ers | 15c | 2,182$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.24 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed 76ers | 50c | 1,990$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Heat | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.18 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8dacbacked 76ers | 51c | 1,906$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…40a5backed Heat | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed 76ers | 26c | 1,828$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed 76ers | 54c | 1,819$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.58 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Heat | 51c | 1,763$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.97 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked 76ers | 53c | 1,707$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.65 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed 76ers | 49c | 1,625$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.42 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Heat | 49c | 1,520$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.17 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked 76ers | 51c | 1,489$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed 76ers | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Heat | 49c | 1,401$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked 76ers | 2c | 1,392$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Heat | 72c | 1,306$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.56 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Heat | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Heat | 53c | 1,239$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.88 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 59c | 1,177$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.66 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 46c | 1,159$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.61 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa418…90c8backed Heat | 74c | 1,150$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…fc86backed Heat | 51c | 1,040$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…041bbacked 76ers | 50c | 1,038$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed 76ers | 55c | 1,000$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.8 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 49c | 1,000$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.33 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked 76ers | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 76ers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Heat | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked 76ers | 21c | 999.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked 76ers | 50c | 999.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked 76ers | 23c | 985.35$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.47 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed 76ers | 51c | 950.68$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.22 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked 76ers | 55c | 913.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed 76ers | 51c | 903.23$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.47 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed 76ers | 8c | 903.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…1643backed 76ers | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fe…dfe9backed Heat | 49c | 899.97$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked 76ers | 26c | 880$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.75 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Heat | 60c | 843.6$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed 76ers | 55c | 786.26$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.44 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Heat | 50c | 749.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 51c | 729.99$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.7 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…f502backed Heat | 51c | 669.97$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed 76ers | 23c | 620.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…43a9backed 76ers | 25c | 620$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Heat | 70c | 600.84$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed 76ers | 12c | 581.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed 76ers | 52c | 557.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.83 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…dfe7backed 76ers | 54c | 554.07$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…de7abacked Heat | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a057backed 76ers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…69dabacked Heat | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…251bbacked Heat | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…f1babacked Heat | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Heat | 44c | 500$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…4c4bbacked Heat | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Heat | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…357fbacked 76ers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…c2bbbacked 76ers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…eb45backed Heat | 57c | 500$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…1a1dbacked Heat | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…1f2bbacked Heat | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…82cebacked Heat | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…1ebabacked Heat | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…3806backed Heat | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…e734backed Heat | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…22a7backed Heat | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…12dabacked 76ers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0412…4c08backed 76ers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…d2e7backed 76ers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…6662backed 76ers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…4b11backed 76ers | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e52…98d0backed Heat | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…bfcfbacked 76ers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…8328backed 76ers | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…2d83backed Heat | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…1be8backed 76ers | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cd…08b2backed 76ers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.