MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf79e9d25fefe74ff234a9e9be69a88e4b6311438d7e4ba257e11063304dee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Dodgers, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $422,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd422…a203backed Dodgers | 1c | 249,112$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Dodgers | 57c | 34,892$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 44c | 13,741$6,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,710.11 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Dodgers | 38c | 13,409$5,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,108.14 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 46c | 11,012$5,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,993.73 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 43c | 10,215$4,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,836.8 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 60c | 9,814$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Brewers | 44c | 6,874$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dodgers | 56c | 6,800$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Dodgers | 57c | 5,280$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Brewers | 43c | 4,900$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 43c | 4,079$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.53 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.97 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dodgers | 44c | 3,985$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.58 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 43c | 3,595$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.68 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Dodgers | 3c | 2,897$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers | 53c | 2,777$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Brewers | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Brewers | 44c | 2,377$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.11 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Dodgers | 57c | 2,079$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.03 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers | 25c | 2,037$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Dodgers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f64…9aa0backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,850$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…abeabacked Brewers | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…e738backed Brewers | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…0021backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,750$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 43c | 1,750$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.5 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Dodgers | 7c | 1,745$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.13 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Dodgers | 40c | 1,681$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Dodgers | 57c | 1,550$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 1c | 1,330$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 8c | 1,329$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.94 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Dodgers | 41c | 1,198$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.09 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 41c | 1,122$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.16 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Dodgers | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Dodgers | 9c | 1,100$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Brewers | 44c | 1,057$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.04 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…99e0backed Brewers | 45c | 1,048$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Brewers | 43c | 1,037$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.81 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Dodgers | 38c | 1,014$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Dodgers | 2c | 995$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Brewers | 43c | 899.99$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.73 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 51c | 899.98$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Dodgers | 2c | 814.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Dodgers | 8c | 790.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers | 44c | 762$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.05 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Brewers | 78c | 759$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Brewers | 79c | 754.18$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Dodgers | 56c | 726.98$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.41 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 717.77$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.88 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Dodgers | 56c | 707.14$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Brewers | 44c | 665.98$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.95 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Dodgers | 7c | 598.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Dodgers | 57c | 528.49$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.63 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 57c | 523.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Dodgers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Dodgers | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers | 12c | 460$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…1746backed Brewers | 42c | 450.8$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Dodgers | 56c | 430.82$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.26 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Dodgers | 56c | 400$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Brewers | 43c | 397$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.29 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Dodgers | 48c | 352.45$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Dodgers | 7c | 323.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 42c | 319.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Brewers | 45c | 316.18$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Brewers | 45c | 306.56$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.61 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 44c | 301.58$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Dodgers | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Dodgers | 39c | 281.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 72c | 270.42$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Dodgers | 9c | 268.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 78c | 267.21$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Dodgers | 21c | 256.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 49c | 247.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Dodgers | 57c | 241.41$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 44c | 238.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Brewers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dodgers | 41c | 210.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…8f96backed Dodgers | 58c | 202.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 80c | 202$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Dodgers | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe09…dec4backed Dodgers | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…f15fbacked Brewers | 43c | 197$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Dodgers | 56c | 179$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Dodgers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.