MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb3e462fc7ea82136f74a6114928b6f06f1f46906f48ec961be09edc650ae6be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Diamondbacks, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $918,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $915,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $918,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Padres | 48c | 738,944$357,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381,380.52 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 220,265$113,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,817.08 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 95,845$48,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,881.16 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 41,810$21,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,741.2 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 37,048$19,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,359.29 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 29,386$15,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,165.2 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 28,500$15,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,105 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 27,253$16,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,386.06 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 25,983$13,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,770.99 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 23,582$12,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,262.68 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 22,848$11,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,652.47 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 22,500$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Padres | 49c | 15,543$7,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,927.56 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Padres | 50c | 13,875$6,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,891.56 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 13,047$6,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,653.92 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 12,200$6,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,389 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 8,710$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 8,335$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335.54 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 8,251$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.82 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Padres | 48c | 6,552$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.74 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 6,015$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.26 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 21c | 5,343$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.76 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 4,900$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 30c | 4,622$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.23 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 4,001$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,026$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.54 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,593$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.33 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 45c | 2,230$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.32 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Padres | 47c | 2,161$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.58 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,139$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.7 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 60c | 2,108$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.74 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 46c | 1,986$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.38 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Padres | 48c | 1,921$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.15 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,599$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.94 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 71c | 1,584$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.83 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Diamondbacks | 16c | 1,550$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.06 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Padres | 47c | 1,486$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.11 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 54c | 1,464$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.47 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…9a2cbacked Diamondbacks | 24c | 1,437$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…85febacked Diamondbacks | 15c | 1,337$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 20c | 1,313$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.14 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 1,176$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 1,139$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.79 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 1,058$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.8 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Padres | 47c | 999.68$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.83 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Padres | 47c | 982.92$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.24 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 882$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.86 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 819$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 785.59$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.86 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 46c | 779.47$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.91 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Padres | 47c | 767.9$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.99 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 699.65$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.19 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Diamondbacks | 4c | 632.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 48c | 619.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.54 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 617$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.01 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 603.95$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.65 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Padres | 32c | 599.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.99 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 65c | 594.5$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.14 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Diamondbacks | 16c | 535.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 518.08$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.07 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 497.76$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.67 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Padres | 51c | 469.1$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 466.38$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.23 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Diamondbacks | 22c | 455.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Diamondbacks | 19c | 451.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 437.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.75 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 421.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.7 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Padres | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 392.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 62c | 368.22$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Padres | 46c | 365.94$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.61 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Padres | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 287.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Diamondbacks | 10c | 277$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 6c | 263$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Padres | 49c | 260$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 249.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 49c | 249.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Diamondbacks | 17c | 245.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 230.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 218.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Padres | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Padres | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Padres | 72c | 208.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Padres | 40c | 202.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 202$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 201.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.