NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Ravens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ceb60ec5d99c63bc202afcdf31571e9d52b72aa35a9b517c87826523c8ea1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Broncos, Ravens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Broncos | 16c | 25,263$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156.16 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Broncos | 3c | 12,450$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.99 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Broncos | 1c | 12,413$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Broncos | 20c | 11,272$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.89 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Broncos | 19c | 8,309$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.48 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Broncos | 19c | 7,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Broncos | 19c | 5,000$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.51 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Broncos | 21c | 4,248$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.41 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Broncos | 21c | 3,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Ravens | 80c | 3,271$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.15 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Ravens | 80c | 3,125$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Broncos | 1c | 2,560$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Ravens | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Broncos | 21c | 2,404$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Broncos | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Broncos | 9c | 1,958$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…28ccbacked Ravens | 78c | 1,785$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Broncos | 20c | 1,490$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…6d4dbacked Ravens | 79c | 1,050$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Broncos | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Broncos | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Broncos | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…0652backed Broncos | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…2f53backed Broncos | 21c | 999.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee9…4154backed Broncos | 3c | 924.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Broncos | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Broncos | 18c | 799.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Ravens | 79c | 795.9$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…a222backed Broncos | 19c | 732.4$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…28acbacked Broncos | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Ravens | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Broncos | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Ravens | 80c | 546.63$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Broncos | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Ravens | 79c | 354.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Broncos | 11c | 350$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Broncos | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…dfd0backed Broncos | 18c | 317.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Broncos | 19c | 299.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Broncos | 21c | 288.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Ravens | 80c | 251.48$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ravens | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2a…4ab7backed Broncos | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7afc…84e3backed Broncos | 7c | 247.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Broncos | 15c | 246.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Broncos | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…943ebacked Broncos | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…64b1backed Broncos | 22c | 218.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Broncos | 20c | 203$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Broncos | 19c | 200.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Broncos | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ee…7870backed Broncos | 22c | 189.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…b891backed Broncos | 21c | 176.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Ravens | 80c | 155$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Broncos | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…edfbbacked Broncos | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Broncos | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Broncos | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Broncos | 21c | 117.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Broncos | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Broncos | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Broncos | 19c | 109.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…4e43backed Broncos | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…f7eebacked Broncos | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Broncos | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Ravens | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Broncos | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074f…f222backed Broncos | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…3456backed Broncos | 21c | 97.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…5163backed Broncos | 19c | 96.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad74…e1b1backed Broncos | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Broncos | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…73f5backed Broncos | 21c | 88.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Broncos | 20c | 87.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…5b73backed Broncos | 19c | 85.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Broncos | 22c | 77.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…475bbacked Broncos | 22c | 70.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…68c7backed Broncos | 21c | 70.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…8112backed Ravens | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…413fbacked Broncos | 21c | 66.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Ravens | 79c | 63.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…ac31backed Broncos | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…1598backed Broncos | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Broncos | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba4…e963backed Broncos | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c88…3197backed Broncos | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ce…d437backed Broncos | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Ravens | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Ravens | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…04e5backed Ravens | 80c | 25.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…e1d1backed Ravens | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…c5abbacked Ravens | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…3132backed Ravens | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…1d90backed Ravens | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…305dbacked Ravens | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.