CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x221485014c63d792f3fa7e7530daefeab63b77fd2c9f8828613bcc484d7fbe1c

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Inner Circle Esportsof TheMongolz, Inner Circle Esports
Resolved: Oct 5, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $107,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $121,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,060 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed TheMongolz	72c	42,111$30,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,319.91	216	45.4%98 W · 118 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Inner Circle Esports	28c	33,000$9,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,760	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed TheMongolz	72c	32,858$23,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,658.02	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-3.4wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Inner Circle Esports	28c	27,775$7,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,998	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-3.8wins	-0.21per pick	32cpaid	-58%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Inner Circle Esports	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,200	214	24.8%53 W · 161 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Inner Circle Esports	33c	7,745$2,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,158	836	52.5%439 W · 397 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Inner Circle Esports	54c	1,501$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.27	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz	45c	1,500$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675	817	51.7%422 W · 395 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports	31c	1,057$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.2	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked TheMongolz	73c	1,003$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.26	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed TheMongolz	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked TheMongolz	73c	958.9$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Inner Circle Esports	26c	932.43$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked TheMongolz	73c	880$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.4	1,262	46.9%592 W · 670 L	-34.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked TheMongolz	58c	872.78$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.09	470	55.7%262 W · 208 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked TheMongolz	74c	810.81$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	130	43.1%56 W · 74 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Inner Circle Esports	37c	800$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504	463	40.8%189 W · 274 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked TheMongolz	59c	773.1$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.76	263	51.3%135 W · 128 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked Inner Circle Esports	28c	714.29$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.29	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec3…9766backed Inner Circle Esports	47c	658.63$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.63	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Inner Circle Esports	53c	655.3$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.99	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Inner Circle Esports	28c	632.14$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.14	110	30.9%34 W · 76 L	-11.3wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-23%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed TheMongolz	73c	624.08$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.58	218	46.8%102 W · 116 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed TheMongolz	58c	500$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	384	52.3%201 W · 183 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Inner Circle Esports	27c	400$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292	259	41.3%107 W · 152 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Inner Circle Esports	27c	400$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292	220	56.4%124 W · 96 L	+19.9wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed TheMongolz	50c	396.86$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	98	60.2%59 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed TheMongolz	76c	394.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	212	51.4%109 W · 103 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed TheMongolz	57c	374.99$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.75	233	51.5%120 W · 113 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked Inner Circle Esports	58c	366.18$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.83	55	65.5%36 W · 19 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc5ec…18f4backed TheMongolz	74c	300$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa97…494fbacked Inner Circle Esports	46c	300$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffe…0d18backed Inner Circle Esports	55c	278.35$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.26	48	27.1%13 W · 35 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…ba94backed TheMongolz	47c	270.21$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed TheMongolz	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	334	56.6%189 W · 145 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Inner Circle Esports	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	163	35%57 W · 106 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02aa…9c2abacked TheMongolz	74c	191.89$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	289	64%185 W · 104 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed TheMongolz	55c	182.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	367	51%187 W · 180 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked Inner Circle Esports	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed TheMongolz	74c	154.74$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	234	54.7%128 W · 106 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e3…b3a4backed TheMongolz	51c	118.9$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.64	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-3.4wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed TheMongolz	46c	115.43$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	102	38.2%39 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed TheMongolz	52c	115.41$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.04	149	52.3%78 W · 71 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed TheMongolz	48c	105.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	201	57.7%116 W · 85 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Inner Circle Esports	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	116	25.9%30 W · 86 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed Inner Circle Esports	27c	100$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73	364	37.4%136 W · 228 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Inner Circle Esports	29c	93.42$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.33	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed TheMongolz	72c	88.92$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.02	265	63%167 W · 98 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…2518backed Inner Circle Esports	73c	82.25$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.25	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Inner Circle Esports	67c	74.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.63	166	49.4%82 W · 84 L	-15.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked TheMongolz	21c	71.43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed TheMongolz	36c	70$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	194	23.7%46 W · 148 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked TheMongolz	74c	67.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.93	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51cb…b68ebacked TheMongolz	66c	60.36$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed TheMongolz	57c	59.02$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.64	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde5a…2875backed Inner Circle Esports	27c	55.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.56	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc26d…63f2backed Inner Circle Esports	28c	53.57$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.57	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Inner Circle Esports	28c	50$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	421	49.6%209 W · 212 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93f2…da0ebacked Inner Circle Esports	67c	48.04$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.85	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-7.4wins	-0.22per pick	59cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Inner Circle Esports	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	243	50.6%123 W · 120 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Inner Circle Esports	57c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.3	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked TheMongolz	63c	40$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	354	54.2%192 W · 162 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked TheMongolz	45c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	821	46.3%380 W · 441 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed TheMongolz	74c	27.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	115	65.2%75 W · 40 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1357…4fd4backed TheMongolz	75c	26.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed TheMongolz	76c	26.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	211	41.7%88 W · 123 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked TheMongolz	57c	21.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	142	33.8%48 W · 94 L	-18.8wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Inner Circle Esports	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4f…8402backed TheMongolz	76c	15.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-5.1wins	-0.34per pick	67cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market