NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe62a3a238e2c01481d2253d3407d811ccd853a58020259054f1962f65e9704ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Wizards, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hawks | 76c | 17,082$12,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.55 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 31c | 7,119$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.97 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Wizards | 24c | 6,875$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 0c | 6,045$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 76c | 5,826$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.02 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards | 0c | 5,217$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…3e9dbacked Hawks | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce0…61c9backed Wizards | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…b702backed Hawks | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…aa83backed Wizards | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…3791backed Wizards | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…ff65backed Hawks | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…bd07backed Hawks | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…d9d0backed Wizards | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…602fbacked Hawks | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…ac41backed Wizards | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…16c7backed Wizards | 24c | 3,626$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…a326backed Wizards | 22c | 3,600$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Hawks | 78c | 3,363$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.49 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…2ae1backed Hawks | 78c | 2,575$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Wizards | 29c | 2,400$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.93 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Hawks | 71c | 2,296$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Wizards | 15c | 1,942$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.44 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Wizards | 42c | 1,905$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.21 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Hawks | 58c | 1,766$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.86 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 18c | 1,665$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.03 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Hawks | 74c | 1,540$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.35 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 74c | 1,373$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.49 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…ce27backed Hawks | 79c | 1,146$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wizards | 19c | 1,080$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…79b0backed Hawks | 79c | 1,079$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…5715backed Hawks | 78c | 1,025$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Wizards | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Wizards | 25c | 999.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 3c | 799.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Hawks | 70c | 649.99$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…7ee8backed Hawks | 79c | 637.04$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Wizards | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Wizards | 21c | 499.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wizards | 34c | 473.49$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Wizards | 23c | 425.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Wizards | 6c | 375$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…ac01backed Wizards | 24c | 375$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Wizards | 22c | 310$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 16c | 304.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 28c | 301.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Hawks | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Wizards | 26c | 299.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…127bbacked Wizards | 22c | 245.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…4ee5backed Wizards | 22c | 232.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…7ef8backed Hawks | 75c | 221.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed Wizards | 25c | 210.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Wizards | 24c | 209.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Hawks | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Hawks | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Wizards | 24c | 199.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Wizards | 17c | 199.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Hawks | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Hawks | 78c | 191.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Hawks | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…6f18backed Wizards | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…b052backed Hawks | 71c | 174.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…2ab4backed Wizards | 17c | 170$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Wizards | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Wizards | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79b…8316backed Hawks | 79c | 158.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed Wizards | 22c | 155.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…ef45backed Wizards | 28c | 147.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Hawks | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…b77abacked Wizards | 23c | 138.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Hawks | 77c | 137.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Hawks | 80c | 136.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…2776backed Wizards | 32c | 135$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Hawks | 78c | 132.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Wizards | 32c | 130.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…a0d8backed Wizards | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…189ebacked Hawks | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc6…603cbacked Hawks | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…d323backed Hawks | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Hawks | 65c | 118.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Hawks | 77c | 118.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Hawks | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Wizards | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…8dd5backed Wizards | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Hawks | 75c | 108.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6099…bae1backed Wizards | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…c972backed Wizards | 35c | 106.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Wizards | 22c | 104.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…b199backed Wizards | 25c | 102.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…edecbacked Hawks | 68c | 100.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Wizards | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…dd7abacked Wizards | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Hawks | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…a88dbacked Hawks | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Wizards | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.