Champions League · resolved market
Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Slovan Bratislava?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d2b385ef857886f16576752074959dc119bbe2ecebeabf5365539c6ebf00078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 53c | 18,692$9,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,718.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 47c | 10,156$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.46 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 75c | 4,574$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.74 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 49c | 2,194$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.82 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 30c | 2,164$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.09 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes | 51c | 1,754$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 48c | 1,344$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.98 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 49c | 1,292$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 47c | 1,112$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.3 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 31c | 1,055$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…1f75backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 37c | 617.75$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.37 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 54c | 372.06$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Yes | 78c | 266.18$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 52c | 232.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…431dbacked Yes | 51c | 198.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed No | 29c | 173.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 51c | 158.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 77c | 139.22$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…e085backed No | 51c | 99.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…866cbacked Yes | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 51c | 92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…ea10backed Yes | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Yes | 77c | 79.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…4190backed Yes | 60c | 43.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 74c | 39.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…592abacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Yes | 51c | 26.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…a041backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Slovan Bratislava?this page
- Will Slovan Bratislava beat Dinamo Zagreb?No won
- Will the match between Slovan Bratislava and Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.