TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool beat Bayer Leverkusen?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked No47c14,040$6,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,586.889038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes44c11,261$4,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,318.175455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa614…e553backed No61c10,200$6,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,222616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes52c6,569$3,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,141.7217053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes55c3,946$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.37042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb35c…e1bebacked Yes54c3,667$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6603655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793a…197abacked No46c1,257$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fde…ed39backed Yes50c1,226$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x382c…a0d7backed Yes51c1,038$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd65a…5529backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf25d…1134backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes54c954.65$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.1415250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No46c949.98$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.4924252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b12…79cbbacked No46c752.85$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3305858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No46c647.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27013847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1cf5backed No46c566$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cb…710dbacked No46c504$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.29046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac8f…1d0cbacked Yes57c451.21$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.436747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeff…edeabacked No46c425$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa20f…06a4backed No46c332.72$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No48c271.44$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2916447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.167041.4%29 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1304100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+145.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked No59c248.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61de…e4f7backed No46c244.28$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859b…f48bbacked Yes55c229.31$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dde…eb38backed Yes56c212.64$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f31…431dbacked Yes47c212.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes48c208.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.752227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No52c188.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1517048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa3…56e1backed Yes57c187.47$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes55c161$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.452948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No33c149.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2513232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.255149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe939…2af4backed No45c129.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.73132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf76f…b70dbacked No48c113.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes43c110.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9722647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0910743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452931%9 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x578a…ef44backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa236…c10fbacked Yes56c99.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32af…ca42backed No45c98.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes55c92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.413534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41b3…4b03backed No46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e40…e7f1backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a18…4190backed Yes49c83.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No45c74.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.372646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf322…a2c1backed No46c70.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Yes36c68.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.643138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No45c60.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.338748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.729252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No39c51.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1417348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes61c50.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.815347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9b…1770backed Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+86.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes56c49.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7811635.3%41 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes55c49.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0910631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc495…2c4cbacked Yes54c48.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6a…45d9backed Yes50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2386…7f9bbacked No44c47.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x188b…6003backed Yes55c45.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.651050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2212956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3610341.7%43 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a5d…430abacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0690…9211backed Yes53c28.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…2b37backed Yes55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.273852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6255…40b6backed Yes55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe26c…c7b2backed Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-47.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.325166.7%34 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56df…ffd4backed No47c26.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.193145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No50c21.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.519350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Yes58c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.694969.4%34 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d88…81a0backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2b…d259backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.224742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a69…9d47backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad0…bcbcbacked Yes54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe11…f088backed Yes55c19.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.