NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0aab951c4d21903be23014b3ba9bb959d96ceac72adaac40d2af34d510f5121
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Kings | 35c | 9,000$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 67c | 8,727$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.01 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 7,506$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.65 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 62c | 4,424$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.74 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Kings | 38c | 4,194$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…3b89backed Kings | 46c | 3,696$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Timberwolves | 53c | 3,570$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.97 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Timberwolves | 63c | 2,830$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.92 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…66f9backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,810$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…5bcfbacked Kings | 51c | 2,420$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Kings | 11c | 2,299$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.13 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Timberwolves | 65c | 2,245$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.67 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8a…6cc9backed Kings | 47c | 1,756$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd06…8267backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,604$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Kings | 26c | 1,407$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.29 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Kings | 8c | 1,282$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings | 47c | 1,223$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…4125backed Kings | 47c | 1,148$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Kings | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Kings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Timberwolves | 55c | 899.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…a58dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 885.77$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 3c | 863.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Timberwolves | 54c | 754.41$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.01 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…33d8backed Kings | 46c | 749.89$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed Timberwolves | 53c | 749.67$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 34c | 703.04$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.22 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Timberwolves | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c4…1459backed Timberwolves | 54c | 648.94$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Timberwolves | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Kings | 47c | 627.66$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 54c | 557.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.01 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Timberwolves | 53c | 552$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 515.72$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Kings | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Kings | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Kings | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Kings | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Kings | 47c | 381.7$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Kings | 49c | 359.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Kings | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Kings | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 41c | 239.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 226.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.39 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b86…d659backed Kings | 72c | 222.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Kings | 47c | 217$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…4fd1backed Timberwolves | 74c | 216.45$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Timberwolves | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…4ee5backed Kings | 47c | 198.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Timberwolves | 46c | 194.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Timberwolves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Kings | 15c | 176.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Kings | 45c | 166.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a51…29c6backed Kings | 67c | 161.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9219backed Kings | 66c | 161.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…27d3backed Timberwolves | 68c | 153.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Timberwolves | 74c | 135.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Kings | 33c | 126.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…7433backed Timberwolves | 37c | 123.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Kings | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…1918backed Timberwolves | 56c | 117.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…a77bbacked Kings | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…6fd3backed Kings | 40c | 102.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…8f19backed Kings | 46c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Kings | 45c | 101.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Kings | 29c | 100.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4410…5931backed Kings | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe553…2811backed Timberwolves | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08dc…0392backed Kings | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Kings | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c5…0286backed Timberwolves | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Kings | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 99.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 99.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…bd92backed Timberwolves | 37c | 82.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Timberwolves | 52c | 79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…7f77backed Timberwolves | 39c | 77.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…a6cbbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 75.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…83febacked Kings | 49c | 72.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Kings | 31c | 70.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Kings | 26c | 70.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…b7a9backed Timberwolves | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Timberwolves | 58c | 69.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…2a4fbacked Kings | 42c | 66.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…6c3fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 62.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings | 35c | 61.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Timberwolves | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…81c1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 60.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…6774backed Timberwolves | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…800cbacked Kings | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…1650backed Timberwolves | 53c | 59.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf25…b27abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 58.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…9cf1backed Timberwolves | 53c | 57.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…2035backed Kings | 53c | 56.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…bd5cbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…0c22backed Kings | 48c | 54.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.