MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb88599dddf2419dfc740391964e8df3e77b22a59e914b3856cb6a1a4b6514e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Giants | 37c | 40,085$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.99 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 60c | 24,449$14,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,629.95 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Nationals | 69c | 17,214$11,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,376.09 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nationals | 71c | 13,399$9,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.41 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Giants | 61c | 10,608$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 49c | 9,328$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Nationals | 40c | 5,030$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 19c | 4,243$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Nationals | 55c | 4,060$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.88 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Giants | 60c | 3,703$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Giants | 60c | 3,648$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Giants | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants | 60c | 2,800$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.5 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 70c | 2,575$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.37 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Nationals | 62c | 2,510$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.24 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants | 51c | 2,505$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.26 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nationals | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 10c | 2,391$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 39c | 2,295$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.1 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Giants | 60c | 2,054$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.28 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Nationals | 38c | 2,000$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Nationals | 39c | 1,938$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 43c | 1,603$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Giants | 15c | 1,464$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.47 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Giants | 50c | 1,287$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.57 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Nationals | 40c | 1,284$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.25 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Giants | 28c | 1,085$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.77 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 9c | 1,058$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 40c | 1,024$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Nationals | 77c | 1,005$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.01 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Giants | 60c | 932.02$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.21 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 39c | 907$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.27 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 39c | 901$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.61 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Giants | 21c | 896.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Nationals | 40c | 868.67$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Giants | 61c | 814.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nationals | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…88a6backed Giants | 14c | 704.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 41c | 643.9$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Nationals | 72c | 629.78$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.69 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Nationals | 40c | 599.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 39c | 596$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.56 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Nationals | 77c | 529.86$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Giants | 59c | 499.95$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.97 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Nationals | 72c | 499.52$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Giants | 61c | 493.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 45c | 440.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.88 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Nationals | 75c | 432.48$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 39c | 398.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 61c | 374.2$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Giants | 40c | 373$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Giants | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…6cc5backed Giants | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Giants | 31c | 327.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Giants | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…3e45backed Giants | 18c | 278$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 38c | 272.78$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.12 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Giants | 60c | 262$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 39c | 256.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.76 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Nationals | 70c | 255.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 61c | 245$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 41c | 242.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 60c | 238.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Giants | 13c | 230.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Nationals | 39c | 219.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Giants | 59c | 210$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Giants | 34c | 200.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Giants | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Giants | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Giants | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Giants | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Giants | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…0bccbacked Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…f478backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Giants | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…0170backed Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…413abacked Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.