TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$535,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$530,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ee1…dae8backed Blue Jays50c327,981$163,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,513.736456.3%36 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Tigers50c100,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0009440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Tigers50c70,900$35,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,45022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers50c60,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Tigers53c49,353$26,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,153.3513352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Tigers27c32,297$8,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,713.1141747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers50c23,015$11,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,507.3860249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Tigers50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers50c18,489$9,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,244.441,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays48c9,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,679.9956451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers50c7,378$3,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,701.289,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Tigers24c6,690$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.538444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers50c6,200$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1001,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Blue Jays49c4,824$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.2416352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Tigers50c4,489$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.250852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Tigers30c4,330$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.0297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers21c4,187$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.192,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays49c3,676$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.6386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Tigers51c3,442$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.2238047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50024154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Tigers58c2,966$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.22864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Blue Jays46c2,893$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.4715642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Blue Jays49c2,779$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,426.6313247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jays47c2,769$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.2313151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Tigers50c2,600$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Blue Jays40c2,550$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53023545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25025454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Tigers54c2,316$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Tigers62c2,081$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.2654941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers51c1,963$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.112,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays50c1,935$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.5532852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Tigers51c1,675$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.1619239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.6166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Blue Jays49c1,525$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.1711449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Tigers37c1,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Blue Jays48c1,441$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.5418748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays50c1,034$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.1153448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays49c1,004$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.0942452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Tigers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5108156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Tigers51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers3c960.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3388549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Blue Jays44c805$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44711331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers50c707$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.581,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Tigers2c678.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.875852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Tigers51c666$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.667946.8%37 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers5c635$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.618762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcd…6bddbacked Blue Jays49c568.18$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7717558.9%103 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Blue Jays50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2759645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers4c510$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Blue Jays49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25524248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Blue Jays50c467$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.511057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x996c…d8b9backed Blue Jays49c441.73$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.284146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaade…71f1backed Blue Jays49c436.16$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.442850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Tigers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Blue Jays52c367.99$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.647847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tigers56c352.53$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.386,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6dc…8497backed Blue Jays50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays51c299.96$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.982,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays51c296.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1521753.9%117 W · 100 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Tigers51c294.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.441,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf45f…b3bbbacked Tigers51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tigers52c290$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.854048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Tigers50c290$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.431,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays53c263.27$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Blue Jays60c248.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.378360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays49c219$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.692,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Blue Jays49c210.37$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2928053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Blue Jays48c209$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e6…e2bdbacked Blue Jays50c204.73$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.163369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays53c201.89$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Tigers15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Blue Jays44c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.11,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9634051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Blue Jays51c199.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9931347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Tigers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Tigers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216e…b39abacked Tigers52c185.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.452437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Tigers51c185$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3526949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays48c173.49$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.491,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Blue Jays40c172.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.439445.7%43 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4c…0b39backed Tigers52c172.27$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.782544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays49c154.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9495850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd920…b7b6backed Blue Jays52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7216752.1%87 W · 80 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Tigers49c149.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.281,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…2880backed Tigers52c147.11$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.082458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8862…548abacked Tigers48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce43…a695backed Tigers48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b2…1067backed Blue Jays52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…6c73backed Blue Jays52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f41…d3f1backed Tigers48c138$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.