TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$346,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8eeb…4286backed Miami Marlins0c171,000$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Miami Marlins14c23,430$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.5295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Miami Marlins21c7,992$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.3243949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Miami Marlins48c5,756$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.5639041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Atlanta Braves77c5,606$4,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.921,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Miami Marlins71c2,915$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.336047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Atlanta Braves51c2,558$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.368540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3210…5c4ebacked Miami Marlins12c2,096$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.545156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Miami Marlins42c1,912$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.5314235.9%51 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Miami Marlins55c1,600$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Miami Marlins18c1,020$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2751151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Miami Marlins40c878.99$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.8963942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e3…c80fbacked Miami Marlins67c876.3$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa486…25d4backed Atlanta Braves54c687.98$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.431741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Miami Marlins55c636.51$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34914453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Atlanta Braves59c568.53$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Miami Marlins49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.942452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Atlanta Braves60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f07…9517backed Atlanta Braves61c437.55$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Miami Marlins55c428.52$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6924250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Atlanta Braves57c400.31$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.1328348.8%138 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Miami Marlins49c392$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.086347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bac…f238backed Miami Marlins50c368$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b1…2b10backed Atlanta Braves50c368$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Atlanta Braves60c335$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13520367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Miami Marlins46c329.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Atlanta Braves65c328.53$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4332…975dbacked Miami Marlins45c325$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Miami Marlins55c322.36$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.051,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…7a88backed Atlanta Braves65c309.23$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Atlanta Braves51c294$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.061,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Atlanta Braves53c285$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.951,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Atlanta Braves74c276.92$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9625454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc032…6668backed Miami Marlins54c265.74$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c35…3702backed Atlanta Braves66c263.28$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Atlanta Braves53c241.46$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4810459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Miami Marlins20c239$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.832754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Miami Marlins43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff5c…ccbdbacked Atlanta Braves70c178.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5720448.5%99 W · 105 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Atlanta Braves55c174.62$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5819852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Miami Marlins37c163.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.497542.7%32 W · 43 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+63.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd822…697bbacked Atlanta Braves63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b97…7217backed Atlanta Braves64c157.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53b7…6c96backed Miami Marlins53c152.09$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.611060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bd…de55backed Atlanta Braves50c145$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03a7…2710backed Miami Marlins50c145$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick49cpaid-80.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Atlanta Braves54c139.77$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.759151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…bca0backed Atlanta Braves46c137$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…e9c1backed Atlanta Braves64c136.7$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.73450%17 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5c…c46abacked Atlanta Braves46c136$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b85…3d86backed Atlanta Braves46c136$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62b1…dd65backed Miami Marlins54c136$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.441050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368a…9c24backed Miami Marlins54c136$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86bc…e3acbacked Miami Marlins54c135$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b1…3a8abacked Miami Marlins49c135$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.15922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xce43…a695backed Atlanta Braves46c135$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc953…0a2abacked Miami Marlins54c135$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.91060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…6c73backed Atlanta Braves51c135$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.15875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a33…83abbacked Atlanta Braves47c127.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.871861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+64.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf00e…884cbacked Miami Marlins54c123$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.421060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1f…9f1abacked Atlanta Braves46c122$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.881020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7ed…0426backed Atlanta Braves46c122$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24b6…e624backed Miami Marlins54c119.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Atlanta Braves45c119.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8518848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Miami Marlins20c114$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.834164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12fc…3280backed Miami Marlins55c105.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ea…17ebbacked Atlanta Braves64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Miami Marlins48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…d9a9backed Atlanta Braves80c93.75$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.758658.1%50 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1462…51efbacked Miami Marlins54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27cc…9b13backed Atlanta Braves46c88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x877c…007cbacked Miami Marlins44c87.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe1…3b9ebacked Atlanta Braves64c85.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec2…10dabacked Miami Marlins54c84.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.891450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Atlanta Braves59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7538949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Atlanta Braves60c83.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.522958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ef…14e1backed Atlanta Braves63c82.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.582657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…f02ebacked Atlanta Braves53c81.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4189…eba3backed Miami Marlins47c81.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Miami Marlins25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013345.9%61 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4a4…932dbacked Atlanta Braves64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Atlanta Braves64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1326651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb234…e6a1backed Atlanta Braves65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Atlanta Braves70c71.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.344259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Atlanta Braves66c68.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.18650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Atlanta Braves45c65.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.867644.7%34 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d4…c8f5backed Atlanta Braves64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f8…1affbacked Atlanta Braves67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.711147.7%53 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…587bbacked Atlanta Braves59c59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Miami Marlins43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea5…b183backed Atlanta Braves64c56.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x552c…e786backed Miami Marlins50c55.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…2f8abacked Atlanta Braves64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.694856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Atlanta Braves50c54.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2512335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe383…85a3backed Atlanta Braves64c54.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Atlanta Braves64c53.08$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.113351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39b…897dbacked Atlanta Braves60c51.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca98…74b8backed Atlanta Braves59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Miami Marlins37c49.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4917954.7%98 W · 81 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea4c…2194backed Atlanta Braves64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.