MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Blue Jays

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aab8d5e7e49dfd223b762cbd7b0c73bcd8d635b327518b24c4a8b8f37c1b63b

Rebuilt 53 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Blue Jaysof Giants, Blue Jays
Resolved: Jul 20, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $451,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $457,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $451,518 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5912…89aebacked Giants	50c	85,162$42,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,573.34	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Giants	50c	43,122$21,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,439.98	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays	53c	29,252$15,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,723.78	867	51.8%449 W · 418 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Blue Jays	50c	28,012$14,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,913.09	380	47.6%181 W · 199 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Giants	18c	24,788$4,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,465.28	1,591	50.3%801 W · 790 L	+68.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays	57c	22,284$12,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,686.75	188	37.8%71 W · 117 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Blue Jays	50c	18,000$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,000	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Blue Jays	50c	16,112$8,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,056	269	49.4%133 W · 136 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Giants	44c	13,741$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants	35c	12,674$4,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,489.2	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Giants	51c	11,854$6,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,045.69	286	46.5%133 W · 153 L	-15.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd827…7570backed Giants	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Giants	50c	8,983$4,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,491.42	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Blue Jays	50c	7,821$3,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,879.66	110	57.3%63 W · 47 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays	68c	7,362$4,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,384.55	2,274	43.2%983 W · 1,291 L	+43.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3210…5c4ebacked Giants	25c	5,828$1,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440.52	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Blue Jays	50c	5,500$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,750	492	50.4%248 W · 244 L	+8.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays	50c	5,500$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,750	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays	50c	5,461$2,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,734.68	2,470	52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L	+17.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays	59c	4,255$2,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,746.84	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Blue Jays	43c	4,151$1,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,366.26	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays	50c	3,872$1,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,925.76	1,132	48.9%553 W · 579 L	-16.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Blue Jays	50c	3,743$1,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,876.54	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays	54c	3,265$1,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.76	1,530	50.5%772 W · 758 L	+20.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Giants	48c	3,068$1,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,472.42	335	54%181 W · 154 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445b…7ca4backed Giants	37c	2,796$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd503…ef93backed Blue Jays	45c	2,480$1,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,373.91	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	44cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Giants	49c	2,408$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,179.78	564	51.1%288 W · 276 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1f…ab66backed Giants	49c	2,279$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,118	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Blue Jays	50c	2,024$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.76	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	328	52.4%172 W · 156 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Blue Jays	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Giants	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	129	39.5%51 W · 78 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays	73c	1,995$1,447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.87	439	46%202 W · 237 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Blue Jays	51c	1,952$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.54	292	40.8%119 W · 173 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Blue Jays	51c	1,928$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$938.07	384	44%169 W · 215 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays	51c	1,765$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864.71	959	30%288 W · 671 L	-24.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Blue Jays	51c	1,740$886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants	21c	1,694$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.38	961	33.9%326 W · 635 L	-38.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x105d…786abacked Giants	49c	1,600$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe165…f32ebacked Giants	49c	1,520$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.84	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc29…c1c1backed Blue Jays	51c	1,520$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.8	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays	77c	1,500$1,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.51	216	56%121 W · 95 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Blue Jays	69c	1,429$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.59	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Giants	32c	1,389$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.97	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants	18c	1,293$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.21	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Giants	17c	1,201$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.86	277	33.6%93 W · 184 L	+13.5wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Giants	13c	1,105$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.3	107	19.6%21 W · 86 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Blue Jays	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	242	48.8%118 W · 124 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Giants	49c	1,021$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.29	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Blue Jays	73c	1,000$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.33	338	45.9%155 W · 183 L	-15.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	320	42.8%137 W · 183 L	-23.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Blue Jays	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Giants	18c	863.14$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.37	131	45.8%60 W · 71 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants	48c	800$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382	1,289	47.2%609 W · 680 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Giants	49c	789.23$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.72	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Blue Jays	51c	784.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	613	46.3%284 W · 329 L	+7.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Giants	3c	778.91$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.17	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Blue Jays	77c	768.12$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.98	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	70cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Giants	4c	750$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Blue Jays	62c	715$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.7	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+94.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Blue Jays	50c	700$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	-6.2wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays	43c	698.62$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.62	666	45.5%303 W · 363 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Blue Jays	62c	673.02$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.02	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Giants	48c	639.66$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.04	717	51%366 W · 351 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Blue Jays	73c	575.48$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.87	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Giants	49c	575$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.9	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Blue Jays	51c	571.56$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.06	259	52.5%136 W · 123 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays	57c	556.76$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.95	979	50.2%491 W · 488 L	+49.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Giants	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1,213	40.5%491 W · 722 L	-32.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Giants	49c	509.98$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.89	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…0df9backed Blue Jays	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays	44c	500$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	424	52.1%221 W · 203 L	+15.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2d…fc47backed Giants	14c	492.47$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Giants	40c	476.11$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Giants	11c	459.44$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.54	540	48.3%261 W · 279 L	-12.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Blue Jays	68c	431.82$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.18	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Giants	48c	420$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.6	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Giants	37c	400.59$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Blue Jays	50c	399.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.81	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Giants	23c	394.87$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.02	105	27.6%29 W · 76 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Giants	48c	387.81$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.15	198	52.5%104 W · 94 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Giants	47c	382.81$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.92	132	50.8%67 W · 65 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Giants	50c	362.75$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	2,261	45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Giants	36c	350.3$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.47	475	4.4%21 W · 454 L	-20.9wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Blue Jays	53c	340.48$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.48	284	53.9%153 W · 131 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays	51c	339$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.11	2,045	53.8%1,100 W · 945 L	+32.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants	23c	335$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.31	655	49.3%323 W · 332 L	-7.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Blue Jays	50c	333$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.5	313	46.6%146 W · 167 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked Giants	50c	314.57$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.29	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Giants	48c	305$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.44	1,466	44.1%647 W · 819 L	+44.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays	51c	294.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.12	630	52.7%332 W · 298 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Giants	36c	256.39$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.48	182	36.3%66 W · 116 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Giants	24c	251.14$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.76	120	45.8%55 W · 65 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2,033	52.4%1,066 W · 967 L	-35.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Giants	47c	208.02$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.77	313	47.9%150 W · 163 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Giants	50c	205$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.01	263	55.5%146 W · 117 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	225	46.2%104 W · 121 L	-10.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Giants	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	564	40.4%228 W · 336 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Blue Jays	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Giants vs. Blue Jays

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market