MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63e94501000db3fde3622670a864f0edfcc74598c47e64011d3845b2c99c81ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $511,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Astros | 34c | 304,589$103,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,028.85 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 66c | 160,000$105,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,600 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 65c | 82,119$53,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,460.31 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 66c | 42,112$27,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,773.08 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 66c | 31,565$20,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,832.9 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Yankees | 65c | 23,698$15,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,342.13 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Astros | 35c | 20,376$7,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,244.46 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Yankees | 65c | 19,417$12,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,647.73 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yankees | 15c | 16,914$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.56 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Astros | 76c | 12,332$9,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.83 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Astros | 34c | 12,206$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,055.96 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 66c | 8,218$5,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.86 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yankees | 40c | 7,427$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.74 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 66c | 7,377$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Yankees | 32c | 7,067$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.14 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 41c | 4,824$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.96 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 65c | 4,725$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 42c | 3,554$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.3 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Astros | 41c | 3,322$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.16 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 35c | 3,300$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.44 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 66c | 3,239$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.98 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Astros | 35c | 2,835$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.86 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 3c | 2,706$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Yankees | 16c | 2,591$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.12 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yankees | 55c | 2,559$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.46 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 35c | 2,467$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.42 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 42c | 2,368$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.62 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Yankees | 53c | 2,185$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.8 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 57c | 1,916$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.82 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 35c | 1,818$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.7 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Astros | 34c | 1,788$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.08 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 66c | 1,590$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.4 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 35c | 1,583$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.55 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 66c | 1,518$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Astros | 35c | 1,277$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.14 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yankees | 63c | 1,271$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.8 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Astros | 45c | 1,234$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.62 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 35c | 1,017$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.85 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Astros | 34c | 930$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.8 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Astros | 34c | 920.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.85 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 35c | 886.38$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yankees | 41c | 791.37$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.82 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees | 65c | 726$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.9 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Astros | 38c | 675.69$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.93 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Astros | 71c | 643.22$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Astros | 34c | 599.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 35c | 593.1$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.8 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Yankees | 65c | 592$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.8 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 35c | 571$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.15 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Astros | 35c | 556$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.4 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 14c | 524.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yankees | 63c | 494.41$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.48 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yankees | 66c | 480$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yankees | 42c | 477.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yankees | 66c | 457.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Yankees | 12c | 414.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Yankees | 66c | 379.89$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.73 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yankees | 66c | 375.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.39 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yankees | 65c | 352.56$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.17 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yankees | 34c | 330.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.46 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Yankees | 58c | 330$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Astros | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Astros | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Astros | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yankees | 5c | 272.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 35c | 260$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Astros | 43c | 250$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Astros | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Astros | 36c | 225.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Astros | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 42c | 199.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Astros | 59c | 186.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…5f3ebacked Yankees | 21c | 172.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Astros | 59c | 165.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Yankees | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yankees | 64c | 156.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Yankees | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 10c | 151.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astros | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Astros | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros | 36c | 143.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd971…4471backed Astros | 61c | 127.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ac…091ebacked Yankees | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Astros | 35c | 111$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Yankees | 62c | 107.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yankees | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yankees | 59c | 102.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.