MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe643b041e6f515d155c32fe002042799ac932e614d4f75f383c4fbd8c233a9fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Guardians | 53c | 25,397$13,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,937.65 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked White Sox | 47c | 18,433$8,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,663.32 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 44c | 14,289$6,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.83 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked White Sox | 47c | 11,044$5,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,165.83 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked White Sox | 46c | 8,500$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.95 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Guardians | 51c | 7,800$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.19 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 45c | 6,761$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.84 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Guardians | 53c | 6,305$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.24 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked White Sox | 33c | 6,235$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Guardians | 54c | 5,770$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.05 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Guardians | 57c | 4,713$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.26 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Guardians | 52c | 4,022$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.81 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed White Sox | 47c | 3,908$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.81 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Guardians | 54c | 3,632$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.08 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Guardians | 53c | 3,535$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.45 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked White Sox | 47c | 3,403$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.32 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed White Sox | 47c | 3,299$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.52 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed White Sox | 48c | 3,000$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 46c | 2,944$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.08 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 47c | 2,808$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked White Sox | 42c | 2,768$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.21 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 40c | 2,629$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Guardians | 75c | 2,448$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.09 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked White Sox | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Guardians | 53c | 2,056$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.55 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Guardians | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 53c | 1,813$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.15 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Guardians | 54c | 1,750$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.46 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians | 55c | 1,600$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked White Sox | 45c | 1,537$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.85 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 53c | 1,333$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.51 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Guardians | 72c | 1,172$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.1 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Guardians | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Guardians | 53c | 942.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.14 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…10afbacked Guardians | 51c | 784.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Guardians | 52c | 687.86$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.47 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 46c | 670.99$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.66 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Guardians | 49c | 659.29$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.24 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Guardians | 54c | 657.8$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked White Sox | 47c | 638.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked White Sox | 48c | 638.29$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.76 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Guardians | 52c | 578.46$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.94 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Guardians | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed White Sox | 46c | 541.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 53c | 510$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.06 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Guardians | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 55c | 484$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.72 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Guardians | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Guardians | 53c | 462$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Guardians | 54c | 450$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.85 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 59c | 447.54$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.22 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed White Sox | 49c | 445.44$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 54c | 441.25$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Guardians | 52c | 430$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked White Sox | 5c | 424.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed White Sox | 4c | 414.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed White Sox | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Guardians | 53c | 357.62$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 56c | 349.7$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.13 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed White Sox | 13c | 339.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed White Sox | 31c | 332.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed White Sox | 46c | 326.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked White Sox | 46c | 316.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…32d3backed Guardians | 53c | 309.79$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed White Sox | 21c | 309.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Guardians | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 42c | 272.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Guardians | 54c | 239.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed White Sox | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox | 5c | 214.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox | 46c | 213.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Guardians | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Guardians | 53c | 200.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed White Sox | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed White Sox | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 38c | 199.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 55c | 188$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Guardians | 55c | 181.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Guardians | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Guardians | 56c | 178.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 57c | 176.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Guardians | 55c | 173.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Guardians | 57c | 157.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed White Sox | 14c | 156.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Guardians | 49c | 144.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed White Sox | 44c | 139.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 47c | 139.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.