MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db689090a8ad765376d0e348953edeae11d8dff029e766a3340b20e473f88ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,026,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,043,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,026,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Padres | 40c | 901,872$360,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360,052.66 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 53c | 200,000$106,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,000 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 54c | 137,118$73,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,348.06 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 53c | 80,000$42,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,420 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 53c | 56,986$30,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,613.33 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 77c | 55,489$42,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,810.49 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Phillies | 54c | 51,400$27,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,644 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Phillies | 58c | 35,259$20,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,845.75 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies | 54c | 33,333$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,333.18 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Phillies | 63c | 30,000$18,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,160.75 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Phillies | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Phillies | 67c | 14,848$9,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.13 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Phillies | 49c | 8,824$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Padres | 51c | 8,824$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 53c | 8,700$4,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 53c | 7,000$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 58c | 6,611$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.98 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Padres | 46c | 5,295$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.92 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 34c | 4,495$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Phillies | 54c | 4,447$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 54c | 3,953$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Phillies | 54c | 3,461$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.3 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Phillies | 53c | 3,300$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Phillies | 71c | 2,678$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.68 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Padres | 44c | 2,427$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.62 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 53c | 2,356$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.65 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Phillies | 50c | 2,273$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.35 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 33c | 2,096$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.39 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Padres | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Phillies | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Phillies | 72c | 1,890$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.52 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Phillies | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Phillies | 79c | 1,632$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.19 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Phillies | 52c | 1,509$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.43 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Padres | 37c | 1,355$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 56c | 1,335$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.88 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Padres | 26c | 1,300$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 51c | 1,254$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.31 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Phillies | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Padres | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 71c | 958$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.03 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 32c | 939.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Padres | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 29c | 857.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Padres | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 64c | 746.41$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Padres | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Padres | 16c | 660$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed Padres | 46c | 648.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Padres | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Phillies | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Padres | 45c | 583.5$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.58 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 72c | 514.01$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 28c | 507.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Phillies | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Padres | 45c | 499.96$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Padres | 31c | 472.06$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Padres | 30c | 419.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Padres | 41c | 415.2$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Phillies | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 55c | 362.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Phillies | 62c | 320.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Phillies | 55c | 314.79$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Padres | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Phillies | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Padres | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Phillies | 53c | 239.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 45c | 237.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Padres | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Phillies | 54c | 221.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 46c | 216.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 53c | 214.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Phillies | 71c | 206.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Phillies | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Padres | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…4e33backed Phillies | 49c | 197.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Phillies | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Phillies | 73c | 184.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Phillies | 54c | 174.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 54c | 158.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Padres | 33c | 153.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 35c | 145.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Phillies | 69c | 145.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Padres | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Padres | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Phillies | 48c | 117.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Phillies | 63c | 113.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Padres | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…0f93backed Padres | 48c | 100.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.