MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd788a2deddadd9a14808e73b7c7de6c507feb92d8deb6fc191174ab5f85ae433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 49c | 9,515$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 41c | 5,882$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.46 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Pirates | 44c | 5,555$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.8 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Twins | 59c | 5,526$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.9 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Twins | 56c | 5,023$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.88 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 7c | 4,635$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…3295backed Twins | 67c | 4,635$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 17c | 4,156$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.32 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Pirates | 57c | 3,142$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.58 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Pirates | 50c | 3,129$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.04 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Twins | 49c | 3,058$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 35c | 2,900$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.23 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 60c | 2,317$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 41c | 1,638$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.24 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,282$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.03 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 34c | 1,243$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 40c | 1,239$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.12 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pirates | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.8 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Twins | 21c | 925.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 79c | 886.23$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 37c | 872.34$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.51 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 56c | 668.98$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.74 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 43c | 661.51$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 44c | 615.32$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.8 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Pirates | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates | 36c | 554.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.29 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Twins | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Pirates | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Twins | 57c | 444.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.42 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Twins | 56c | 433.93$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 47c | 408$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Pirates | 41c | 365.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Pirates | 44c | 364.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.94 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Twins | 59c | 349.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.49 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 46c | 335.58$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Pirates | 41c | 278.46$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Pirates | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Twins | 56c | 228$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 45c | 222.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Twins | 21c | 219.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Twins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 55c | 180.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Twins | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Twins | 55c | 178.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 42c | 175.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Twins | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Pirates | 41c | 170.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 36c | 166.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Pirates | 46c | 153.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Pirates | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Twins | 56c | 142.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Twins | 54c | 133$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Twins | 17c | 122.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Pirates | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Twins | 55c | 111.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Twins | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 42c | 89.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d2febacked Twins | 22c | 84.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7c26backed Twins | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 52c | 76.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 58c | 74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Twins | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Twins | 57c | 69.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Twins | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Twins | 21c | 59.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Pirates | 41c | 56.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Pirates | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Pirates | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…4b7ebacked Twins | 60c | 44.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Twins | 56c | 44.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Pirates | 45c | 39.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Twins | 57c | 39.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…773dbacked Pirates | 45c | 34.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Twins | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Twins | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Twins | 57c | 31.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pirates | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pirates | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Twins | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…e634backed Twins | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4565…df3cbacked Pirates | 80c | 27.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Twins | 57c | 26.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Pirates | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…f4f6backed Twins | 56c | 19.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.