Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Albany Great Danes vs. New Hampshire Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77829c97c88c3d8e87395a278a407ce583662c62688b9b0c98a29427bba79a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Hampshire Wildcatsof Albany Great Danes, New Hampshire Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 65c | 741.33$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.33 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Albany Great Danes | 51c | 589$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 49c | 574$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.74 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Albany Great Danes | 32c | 546.85$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Albany Great Danes | 2c | 493.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Albany Great Danes | 47c | 322.64$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 53c | 310.2$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Albany Great Danes | 28c | 162.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Albany Great Danes | 56c | 106.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Albany Great Danes | 52c | 100.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Albany Great Danes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked Albany Great Danes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Albany Great Danes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 53c | 91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 48c | 89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Albany Great Danes | 52c | 87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 51c | 74.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 48c | 63.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 41c | 61.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Albany Great Danes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Albany Great Danes | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Albany Great Danes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Albany Great Danes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Albany Great Danes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Albany Great Danes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Albany Great Danes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 49c | 39.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Albany Great Danes | 38c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Albany Great Danes | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Albany Great Danes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 71c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Albany Great Danes | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.