Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Swiatek vs. Pegula
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeaabaf3f01605e8204300be0771b14a0f29121b627b44ee427149d9c63be277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pegulaof Swiatek, Pegula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Pegula | 48c | 80,483$38,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,190.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Swiatek | 52c | 79,719$41,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,835.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Swiatek | 76c | 5,704$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pegula | 71c | 4,426$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.77 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Swiatek | 76c | 4,097$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.43 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Pegula | 23c | 4,066$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.66 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Pegula | 57c | 3,500$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…02dfbacked Pegula | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c15fbacked Swiatek | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Pegula | 24c | 2,360$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05af…4ff3backed Pegula | 24c | 1,729$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Pegula | 52c | 1,704$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Swiatek | 46c | 1,700$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…8252backed Pegula | 24c | 1,588$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Swiatek | 49c | 1,556$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.67 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Pegula | 56c | 1,361$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Swiatek | 32c | 1,250$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.5 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…ab83backed Pegula | 58c | 1,240$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Swiatek | 3c | 1,166$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…2836backed Swiatek | 72c | 1,130$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Pegula | 44c | 802.79$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.56 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…1b65backed Pegula | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…1416backed Swiatek | 78c | 679.37$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Pegula | 60c | 610$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…ce3bbacked Pegula | 71c | 610$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…1f5ebacked Swiatek | 5c | 598.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Pegula | 23c | 568.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Pegula | 51c | 537.36$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Swiatek | 77c | 500.4$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.7 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec3…168cbacked Swiatek | 77c | 488.27$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…6727backed Swiatek | 77c | 471.44$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…811bbacked Swiatek | 77c | 471.22$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Swiatek | 77c | 465.51$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…8440backed Swiatek | 77c | 458.57$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…a7b1backed Swiatek | 77c | 452.23$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…ddf5backed Swiatek | 77c | 442.71$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…8a59backed Swiatek | 78c | 410.26$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3027…9b4dbacked Swiatek | 77c | 408.48$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Pegula | 52c | 397.91$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…92d9backed Swiatek | 77c | 369.52$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Pegula | 54c | 329$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59a…6a0cbacked Swiatek | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Pegula | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Swiatek | 77c | 302.43$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Pegula | 54c | 259.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…7b00backed Pegula | 56c | 220.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Pegula | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…e7bdbacked Swiatek | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Swiatek | 76c | 145.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Pegula | 63c | 137.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Pegula | 22c | 132$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478c…1c81backed Swiatek | 76c | 126$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…d146backed Swiatek | 76c | 105.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Swiatek | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…8839backed Swiatek | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…503ebacked Swiatek | 76c | 98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cc…5308backed Pegula | 54c | 97.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c8…fc49backed Swiatek | 42c | 93.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Swiatek | 77c | 85.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…a3efbacked Swiatek | 77c | 65.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Pegula | 22c | 52.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Pegula | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Swiatek | 78c | 49.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Swiatek | 78c | 35.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…5425backed Swiatek | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3633…054ebacked Swiatek | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…3576backed Swiatek | 78c | 32.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…030bbacked Pegula | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…40e1backed Swiatek | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…9505backed Swiatek | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Swiatek | 76c | 25.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…fc01backed Swiatek | 77c | 24.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b0…8090backed Swiatek | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…704abacked Swiatek | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…20a3backed Swiatek | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879f…f155backed Swiatek | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2e…8b5dbacked Swiatek | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Swiatek | 76c | 18.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…5e6abacked Swiatek | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…66d0backed Swiatek | 78c | 17.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…4d4ebacked Swiatek | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…46a8backed Swiatek | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…97f8backed Swiatek | 78c | 14.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…13dfbacked Swiatek | 78c | 13.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7186…fbacbacked Swiatek | 77c | 13.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.