TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Mariners, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dae…f8b2backed Tigers53c17,523$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,20013352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Tigers50c10,775$5,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,387.524253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Tigers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e68…5472backed Tigers51c8,331$4,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,248.832650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners49c7,204$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.8653150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Tigers1c6,959$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5940629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners47c6,725$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,552.881,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners50c5,741$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.162,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mariners43c4,711$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.229,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Tigers71c4,239$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00026847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners50c4,005$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.241,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers1c3,998$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.981,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mariners49c3,717$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.6897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners34c2,972$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Tigers59c2,477$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.5236047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Tigers51c2,375$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.4110143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners43c2,183$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.9486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Tigers42c1,756$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72929240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Mariners41c1,692$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.6257545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2345…1e3bbacked Tigers51c1,584$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners38c1,451$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.551,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Tigers64c1,252$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80046631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners60c1,137$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.5941747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers1c1,135$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.858762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Mariners45c1,113$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.1318349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc839…2930backed Tigers20c1,050$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.813729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Mariners51c1,034$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.4850852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Mariners77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23091749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf366…bd1ebacked Tigers51c990.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Tigers61c978.92$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.0843946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Mariners67c969.44$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.313852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mariners49c939.37$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.085,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Mariners73c935.65$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.571,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Mariners40c925.43$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.2631248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Mariners57c906.66$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.333336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x102c…a24cbacked Tigers49c879$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.7116251.9%84 W · 78 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…f1d3backed Tigers51c874.86$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tigers50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Mariners48c703.13$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.6315644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mariners24c700$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.796,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f91…fc95backed Tigers76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners72c636.59$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5938743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Mariners50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Tigers49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24514050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25043654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Mariners50c446$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2239332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Tigers4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Tigers51c392.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.939237%34 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Tigers50c390$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1956347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Mariners50c361$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.515949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Mariners60c360.44$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.517927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Tigers60c343.01$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20734051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Tigers49c333$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1717239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670d…fbe9backed Tigers49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe340…8306backed Mariners50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78f…9aa2backed Tigers51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Tigers52c291.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Mariners49c285.43$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.918748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Mariners42c280.9$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9215151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Mariners31c270.81$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8624751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Tigers45c250.94$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9223938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Tigers37c204.36$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6110719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Tigers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11441751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30be…3566backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf716…c440backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x386c…bc0dbacked Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8a…1a07backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5322…6b5fbacked Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5070…0039backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9ee…7fb2backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbe…fbe3backed Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9752…bd2ebacked Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003271.9%23 W · 9 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e4b…d536backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4f…2737backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd5…a72abacked Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf129…ed65backed Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0669…8717backed Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa444…c492backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc909…6393backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa51b…8938backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bf5…ee08backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a54…7d39backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…9abcbacked Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafbd…67aebacked Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb75…bd65backed Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1379backed Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…06b5backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b2…88d1backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d59…569ebacked Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffe…8149backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3601…43dfbacked Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfcd…7ec6backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc0…8c53backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28d5…7f11backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0b6…d335backed Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f02…8dcebacked Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…2883backed Mariners50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.