La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x852162e21e09d69dd6ed90218119eac205ee140f17006761ac98577fdfa1ae7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.99 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 39c | 6,870$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.31 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.98 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 40c | 3,059$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.35 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 2,951$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.36 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,127$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.94 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 61c | 816.23$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.72 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 10c | 409.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 57c | 198.35$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 60c | 184.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 58c | 171.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 43c | 163.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 57c | 160$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 59c | 147.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 102.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +145%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 94.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 61c | 81.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 80.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Yes | 61c | 52.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 58c | 46.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc841…a2ccbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Yes | 58c | 33.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 40c | 26.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 25.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…21fbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.