MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbac9cadd9f4c1dd4c2abf36915446f81d21d4b43efa483346998d98e139313e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Orioles | 61c | 30,051$18,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,260.91 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 39c | 4,311$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.35 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Marlins | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.96 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 72c | 3,989$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.43 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Orioles | 62c | 3,246$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.52 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 37c | 3,009$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.52 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Orioles | 62c | 2,947$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.98 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 40c | 2,816$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Orioles | 60c | 2,685$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 60c | 2,067$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.39 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Orioles | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 39c | 1,896$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.55 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 38c | 1,619$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.75 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Orioles | 59c | 1,599$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.23 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 61c | 1,583$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.09 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Orioles | 41c | 1,460$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.86 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 42c | 1,396$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.29 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Orioles | 61c | 1,220$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.2 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Orioles | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 61c | 1,020$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.43 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Marlins | 38c | 999.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 37c | 977.1$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.11 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Marlins | 78c | 841.56$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.56 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Orioles | 61c | 727.27$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Orioles | 35c | 710$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 50c | 623.38$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.4 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Marlins | 41c | 567.07$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Marlins | 38c | 523.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.8 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Marlins | 40c | 504.78$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Marlins | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 38c | 479$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 44c | 453.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Orioles | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 39c | 449.56$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Marlins | 39c | 417$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.37 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 60c | 330.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Orioles | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Marlins | 43c | 305.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.38 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 39c | 256.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 41c | 256.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 41c | 242.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 40c | 222.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 6c | 213$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Marlins | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 66c | 193.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Marlins | 39c | 186.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 39c | 180.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Marlins | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Orioles | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Orioles | 62c | 162.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Orioles | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Orioles | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed Orioles | 15c | 159.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Marlins | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…622ebacked Marlins | 41c | 141.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 39c | 135.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Marlins | 42c | 135.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 40c | 130.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 39c | 125.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Marlins | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Orioles | 10c | 110.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Marlins | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Orioles | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Orioles | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Marlins | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…4d77backed Orioles | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Marlins | 40c | 82.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Orioles | 56c | 80.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Marlins | 41c | 78.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Marlins | 41c | 75.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Marlins | 42c | 59.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Marlins | 43c | 54.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Marlins | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Orioles | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…ad35backed Orioles | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Marlins | 39c | 49.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Orioles | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Marlins | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Marlins | 41c | 42.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…773dbacked Marlins | 41c | 41.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb755…acbabacked Marlins | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…1b67backed Orioles | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Orioles | 45c | 39.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Marlins | 43c | 35.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Orioles | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.