Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93287a803da2dd9f2c955cd21674a763bfe213fd184fe45d15c3d9fb07cd20de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kent State Golden Flashesof Kent State Golden Flashes, Eastern Michigan Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 14c | 5,373$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.36 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 22c | 3,564$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.1 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 30c | 2,400$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.4 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 71c | 2,209$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 47c | 1,800$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.04 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 78c | 1,038$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 68c | 988.97$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.59 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 969.01$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.26 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 23c | 907.93$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 656.01$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.01 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 30c | 638$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.86 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 69c | 582.96$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.75 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 28c | 567.47$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…114cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 540.01$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 17c | 460$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 456.7$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.78 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 76c | 446.46$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 65c | 434.2$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 26c | 287.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 32c | 259.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 75c | 258$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 15c | 241.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 57c | 207$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 41c | 206.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…faf4backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 75c | 195.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 62c | 180.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 32c | 175.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 58c | 172.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 68c | 157.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 37c | 152.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 35c | 135.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 61c | 117.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 66c | 102$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 60c | 100.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 33c | 100.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 67c | 99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 73c | 96.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 91.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 63c | 89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 34c | 88.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 44c | 87.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 39c | 84.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 13c | 80.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca46…dc0fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 63c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 26c | 53.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3515…ae25backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 74c | 52.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…38d8backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 57c | 47.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 57c | 42.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 32c | 38.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 65c | 37.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 36c | 31.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…9cd3backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…ebcbbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128b…6f22backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…ba8fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 80c | 12.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesthis page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 154.5Under won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 155.5Under won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-3.5)Eastern Michigan Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.